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Championship
Referee: J Gillett
Fulham
T U S S S
3–0
Full-time
Stoke
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Championship · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 1. · Stoke 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 West Brom 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Stoke 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Cardiff 6 2 3 1 +3 9
5 Coventry 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Luton 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 QPR 4 2 2 0 +4 8
8 Bournemouth 4 2 2 0 +3 8
9 Birmingham 4 2 1 1 +4 7
10 Blackburn 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Bristol City 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Huddersfield 4 2 1 1 -2 7
13 Derby 6 1 3 2 -1 6
14 Preston 5 2 0 3 -3 6
15 Middlesbrough 4 1 2 1 +0 5
16 Barnsley 4 1 2 1 +0 5
17 Swansea 4 1 1 2 -2 4
18 Peterboro 4 1 1 2 -3 4
19 Peterborough 4 1 1 2 -3 4
20 Reading 4 1 0 3 -2 3
21 Hull 4 1 0 3 -3 3
22 Millwall 4 0 2 2 -3 2
23 Blackpool 4 0 2 2 -3 2
24 Nott'm Forest 5 0 1 4 -4 1
25 Sheffield United 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fulham Stoke
1–0 H. Wilson
A. Mitrović
5′
40′
🟨 Ben Wilmot
Half-time 2–0
2–0 B. De Cordova-Reid
53′
58′
🔁 S. Surridge
↦ S. Fletcher
68′
🔁 R. Sawyers
↦ S. Clucas
3–0 A. Mitrović
H. Wilson
72′
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ B. De Cordova-Reid
74′
74′
🔁 A. Doughty
↦ T. Smith
H. Reed 🔁
↦ F. Carvalho
80′
N. Kebano 🔁
↦ H. Wilson
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Fulham

4-2-3-1
21 P. Gazzaniga G
4 D. Odoi D
13 T. Ream D
16 T. Adarabioyo D
33 A. Robinson D
24 J. Seri M
25 J. Onomah M
8 H. Wilson M
28 F. Carvalho M
14 B. De Cordova-Reid M
9 A. Mitrović F
Bench (7)
17 Ivan Cavaleiro
6 H. Reed
7 N. Kebano
1 M. Rodák
26 A. Mawson
23 J. Bryan
29 A. Zambo Anguissa

Coach: Marco Silva

Stoke

3-5-2
12 J. Bursik G
2 T. Smith M
36 H. Souttar D
19 L. Østigård D
14 J. Tymon M
16 B. Wilmot D
8 M. Vrančić M
4 J. Allen M
7 S. Clucas M
9 S. Fletcher F
18 J. Brown F
Bench (7)
22 S. Surridge
28 R. Sawyers
11 A. Doughty
3 M. Fox
15 J. Thompson
6 D. Batth
1 A. Davies

Coach: M. O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,34
B
4,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.