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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
A. Klagenfurt
U T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Tirol
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Klagenfurt Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
2,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

28% Possession 72%
6 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 10
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match A. Klagenfurt 10. · Tirol 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 5 5 0 0 +12 15
2 Sturm Graz 5 3 1 1 +5 10
3 SK Rapid 5 2 1 2 +3 7
4 Altach 5 2 1 2 -1 7
5 Ried 5 2 1 2 -7 7
6 LASK 5 1 3 1 -1 6
7 Hartberg 5 1 2 2 +0 5
8 Tirol 5 0 5 0 +0 5
9 Wolfsberger AC 5 1 2 2 -3 5
10 A. Klagenfurt 5 1 2 2 -5 5
11 Admira 5 1 1 3 -1 4
12 Austria Vienna 5 0 3 2 -2 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

A. Klagenfurt Tirol
23′
G. Vrioni 0–1
T. Anselm
1–1 P. Greil
A. Timossi Andersson
36′
40′
🟨 Thanos Petsos
Half-time 1–1
Patrick Greil ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
48′
48′
ℹ️ Patrick Greil
VAR: Penalty cancelled
2–1 T. Gemicibaşi
50′
Phillip Menzel 🟥
50′
L. Moser 🔁
↦ T. Maciejewski
54′
72′
🔁 M. Wallner
↦ V. Müller
72′
🔁 A. Ranacher
↦ Ž. Rogelj
79′
🟨 Maxime Awoudja
83′
🔁 M. Andric
↦ L. Klassen
83′
🔁 J. Naschberger
↦ B. Blume
F. Rieder 🔁
↦ A. Timossi Andersson
86′
I. Šaravanja 🔁
↦ C. Cvetko
90′
Florian Rieder 🟨
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

A. Klagenfurt

4-3-3
13 P. Menzel G
31 T. Mahrer D
5 M. Blauensteiner D
37 N. Wimmer D
81 T. Gemicibaşi M
14 C. Cvetko M
4 P. Greil M
12 A. Timossi Andersson F
20 T. Maciejewski F
32 M. Pink F
7 F. Jaritz D
Bench (7)
1 L. Moser
23 F. Rieder
63 I. Šaravanja
3 T. Roberts
92 F. Markelic
77 G. Amanda
44 P. Hütter

Coach: P. Pacult

Tirol

4-4-2
13 B. Ozegovic G
24 F. Koch D
30 R. Behounek D
15 M. Awoudja D
3 L. Klassen D
6 T. Petsos M
10 B. Blume M
4 V. Müller M
21 Ž. Rogelj M
20 T. Anselm F
9 G. Vrioni F
Bench (7)
27 M. Wallner
14 A. Ranacher
22 M. Andric
17 J. Naschberger
18 D. Tomic
5 F. Bacher
25 F. Oswald

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Spurny · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.