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Championship

Referee: J Linington

Peterboro

T S U T

0–1

Full-time

West Brom

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Peterboro West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

75%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,2

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Championship · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

25%

75%

Points per game

1,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

75%

100%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,8

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Shots 19

1 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Peterboro 19. · West Brom 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fulham	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	QPR	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	West Brom	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Huddersfield	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Luton	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Stoke	5	3	1	1	+1	10
7	Cardiff	6	2	3	1	+3	9
8	Bournemouth	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Coventry	5	3	0	2	+0	9
10	Preston	6	3	0	3	-1	9
11	Birmingham	5	2	2	1	+4	8
12	Blackburn	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Bristol City	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Middlesbrough	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Barnsley	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Derby	6	1	3	2	-1	6
17	Millwall	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Hull	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Peterboro	4	1	1	2	-3	4
20	Peterborough	4	1	1	2	-3	4
21	Swansea	5	1	1	3	-4	4
22	Reading	5	1	0	4	-6	3
23	Blackpool	5	0	2	3	-4	2
24	Sheffield United	5	0	2	3	-6	2
25	Nott'm Forest	5	0	1	4	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	4	3	0	1	+1	9
2	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Luton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	West Brom	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Coventry	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Huddersfield	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	QPR	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Cardiff	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Peterboro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Peterborough	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Millwall	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Reading	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Derby	3	0	3	0	+0	3
18	Bournemouth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Birmingham	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Hull	3	0	1	2	-4	1
23	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-2	0
24	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-2	0
25	Blackpool	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Fulham	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	QPR	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Cardiff	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Blackburn	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	West Brom	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Huddersfield	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Stoke	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Hull	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Luton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Derby	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Swansea	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Coventry	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Barnsley	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Middlesbrough	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Blackpool	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Sheffield United	3	0	2	1	-4	2
20	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Millwall	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
23	Peterboro	2	0	0	2	-4	0
24	Peterborough	2	0	0	2	-4	0
25	Reading	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.