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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Godinho

Maritimo

T T T T U

0–2

Full-time

Moreirense

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 27%

24%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

62%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 18. · Moreirense 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	22	18	4	0	+33	58
2	Porto	22	14	6	2	+25	48
3	Sp Braga	21	15	1	5	+18	46
4	Benfica	21	12	6	3	+18	42
5	Pacos Ferreira	22	12	5	5	+9	41
6	Guimaraes	21	10	5	6	+5	35
7	Santa Clara	22	8	4	10	-1	28
8	Moreirense	21	6	8	7	-6	26
9	Tondela	22	7	3	12	-15	24
10	Portimonense	22	6	5	11	-5	23
11	Belenenses	21	4	10	7	-5	22
12	Rio Ave	21	5	7	9	-9	22
13	Nacional	22	5	6	11	-9	21
14	Boavista	22	4	9	9	-10	21
15	Farense	21	4	7	10	-7	19
16	Gil Vicente	22	5	4	13	-13	19
17	Famalicao	22	4	7	11	-17	19
18	Maritimo	21	5	3	13	-11	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	11	9	2	0	+16	29
2	Benfica	11	8	2	1	+12	26
3	Pacos Ferreira	11	8	2	1	+9	26
4	Sp Braga	10	8	1	1	+10	25
5	Porto	11	7	3	1	+12	24
6	Tondela	11	7	2	2	+4	23
7	Portimonense	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Guimaraes	11	5	1	5	-3	16
9	Moreirense	11	3	6	2	-1	15
10	Belenenses	11	3	5	3	+0	14
11	Farense	11	3	4	4	+1	13
12	Rio Ave	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Nacional	11	3	3	5	-3	12
14	Santa Clara	10	3	2	5	-1	11
15	Gil Vicente	11	3	2	6	-4	11
16	Boavista	11	3	2	6	-6	11
17	Maritimo	10	2	2	6	-7	8
18	Famalicao	11	1	5	5	-10	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	11	9	2	0	+17	29
2	Porto	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Sp Braga	11	7	0	4	+8	21
4	Guimaraes	10	5	4	1	+8	19
5	Santa Clara	12	5	2	5	+0	17
6	Benfica	10	4	4	2	+6	16
7	Pacos Ferreira	11	4	3	4	+0	15
8	Moreirense	10	3	2	5	-5	11
9	Famalicao	11	3	2	6	-7	11
10	Boavista	11	1	7	3	-4	10
11	Maritimo	11	3	1	7	-4	10
12	Rio Ave	11	2	4	5	-8	10
13	Nacional	11	2	3	6	-6	9
14	Belenenses	10	1	5	4	-5	8
15	Gil Vicente	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Farense	10	1	3	6	-8	6
17	Portimonense	11	1	2	8	-11	5
18	Tondela	11	0	1	10	-19	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.