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Superligaen
Midtjylland
S S S S T
0–1
Full-time
Aarhus
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Superligaen · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 55%
63%
47%
Points per game
2,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
58%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Midtjylland 2. · Aarhus 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brondby 20 13 2 5 +13 41
2 Midtjylland 19 12 3 4 +11 39
3 FC Copenhagen 20 10 4 6 +5 34
4 Aarhus 19 9 6 4 +12 33
5 Randers FC 20 8 4 8 +9 28
6 Odense 19 6 7 6 +0 25
7 Sonderjyske 19 7 4 8 -2 25
8 Nordsjaelland 19 5 7 7 +1 22
9 Aalborg 19 5 7 7 -7 22
10 Vejle 19 5 6 8 -7 21
11 Lyngby 20 4 5 11 -16 17
12 Horsens 19 2 5 12 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.