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Super League
PAOK
S U S S T
2–2
Full-time
Aris
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,8
This season — Super League · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 55%
52%
58%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
33%
Both score Ø 39%
52%
25%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

10 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 3
11 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 5. · Aris 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 27 21 5 1 +50 68
2 AEK 26 14 6 6 +10 48
3 Aris Thessalonikis 24 14 5 5 +17 47
4 Aris 24 14 5 5 +17 47
5 PAOK 25 13 7 5 +23 46
6 Panathinaikos 27 13 6 8 +10 45
7 Asteras Tripolis 27 12 9 6 +3 45
8 Giannina 27 7 9 11 -4 30
9 Volos NFC 27 7 9 11 -10 30
10 Atromitos 27 6 10 11 -14 28
11 Apollon 26 7 4 15 -10 25
12 Lamia 26 5 7 14 -25 22
13 Panetolikos 27 4 9 14 -19 21
14 OFI Crete 26 5 4 17 -23 19
15 Larisa 26 3 7 16 -25 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U ✓
3,52
B
4,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.