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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Huesca
S T T S U
3–4
Full-time
Celta
U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 20%
12%
28%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
32%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huesca 20. · Celta 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 24 18 4 2 +31 58
2 Barcelona 26 17 5 4 +35 56
3 Real Madrid 25 16 5 4 +23 53
4 Sevilla 25 15 3 7 +15 48
5 Sociedad 25 11 9 5 +21 42
6 Betis 25 12 3 10 -5 39
7 Villarreal 26 8 13 5 +5 37
8 Granada 25 9 6 10 -11 33
9 Levante 25 7 11 7 +1 32
10 Ath Bilbao 24 8 6 10 +6 30
11 Valencia 26 7 9 10 -4 30
12 Celta 25 7 9 9 -7 30
13 Osasuna 26 7 7 12 -12 28
14 Cadiz 26 7 7 12 -19 28
15 Getafe 26 7 6 13 -11 27
16 Valladolid 26 5 10 11 -12 25
17 Elche 25 5 9 11 -14 24
18 Eibar 26 4 10 12 -9 22
19 Alaves 25 5 7 13 -19 22
20 Huesca 25 3 11 11 -14 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huesca Celta
5′
Santi Mina 0–1
Nolito
1–1 D. Siovas
Pablo Maffeo
14′
2–1 Rafa Mir
Mikel Rico
16′
37′
Nolito 2–2
Half-time 2–2
51′
🔁 Iván Villar
↦ Rubén Blanco
52′
Hugo Mallo 2–3
Denis Suárez
57′
🟨 Hugo Mallo
74′
🔁 N. Araújo
↦ Brais Méndez
3–3 David Ferreiro
74′
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ Dani Escriche
77′
77′
Fran Beltrán 3–4
Iago Aspas
79′
🔁 F. Ferreyra
↦ Nolito
80′
🔁 A. Solari
↦ Santi Mina
Sergio Gómez 🔁
↦ Pablo Ínsua
81′
I. Doumbia 🔁
↦ Mikel Rico
81′
88′
🟨 Facundo Ferreyra
Juan Carlos 🔁
↦ Jaime Seoane
89′
S. Okazaki 🔁
↦ Javier Galán
89′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Huesca

3-4-1-2
1 Álvaro Fernández G
18 D. Siovas D
14 Jorge Pulido D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
3 Pablo Maffeo M
11 Javier Galán M
7 David Ferreiro F
17 Mikel Rico M
20 Jaime Seoane M
9 Rafa Mir F
23 Dani Escriche F
Bench (10)
15 Javi Ontiveros
10 Sergio Gómez
2 I. Doumbia
21 Juan Carlos
12 S. Okazaki
13 Andrés Fernández
25 D. Vavro
6 Sandro Ramírez
24 Borja García
19 Pedro López

Coach: Pacheta

Celta

4-3-1-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
19 Aarón Martín D
18 J. Aidoo D
6 Denis Suárez M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Nolito M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (9)
1 Iván Villar
4 N. Araújo
12 F. Ferreyra
21 A. Solari
39 J. Holsgrove
29 José Fontán
17 Juncà
20 Kevin Vázquez
27 Miguel Baeza

Coach: E. Coudet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,98
U
3,23
B ✓
2,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.