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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Mechelen
T T U U S
2–3
Full-time
Beerschot VA
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Beerschot VA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
3,8
6,5
Scored
1,8
3,3
Conceded
2,0
3,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 11/14 matches
Win Ø 50%
36%
64%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
73%
93%
Both score Ø 80%
73%
86%
Average goals
3,5
5,1
Scored
1,6
2,7
Conceded
1,8
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

65% Possession 35%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 15. · Beerschot VA 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
2 Beerschot VA 14 9 1 4 +5 28
3 Club Brugge 14 7 4 3 +17 25
4 Charleroi 14 7 3 4 +8 24
5 Antwerp 13 6 5 2 +7 23
6 Standard 13 6 5 2 +5 23
7 Anderlecht 13 5 7 1 +9 22
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 6 4 3 +2 22
9 Cercle Brugge 16 7 0 9 -3 21
10 Eupen 15 4 8 3 -2 20
11 Gent 14 6 1 7 +4 19
12 Kortrijk 15 5 4 6 -1 19
13 Waregem 15 5 2 8 -8 17
14 Oostende 13 4 4 5 +3 16
15 Mechelen 11 4 3 4 -2 15
16 St Truiden 14 2 6 6 -9 12
17 Waasland-Beveren 13 2 3 8 -13 9
18 Beveren 13 2 3 8 -13 9
19 Mouscron 12 1 4 7 -13 7
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 1 4 7 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Beerschot VA
13′
T. Tissoudali 0–1
18′
🟨 Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly
0–2 F. Frans
own goal
21′
Jordi Vanlerberghe 🟨
39′
42′
🟨 Tom Pietermaat
0–3 A. Mboko
own goal
44′
Half-time 0–3
Aster Vranckx 🟥
58′
Nikola Storm 🟨
67′
Geoffry Hairemans 🟨
68′
69′
J. Van den Bergh 0–4
R. Holzhauser
Rob Schoofs 🟨
73′
74′
🔁 B. Eleke
↦ T. Tissoudali
T. Peyre 🔁
↦ K. Mrabti
76′
80′
I. Coulibaly 0–5
J. Van den Bergh
81′
🔁 A. Sanyang
↦ A. Mboko
W. Togui 🔁
↦ S. Voet
85′
O. Kaya 🔁
↦ R. Schoofs
85′
86′
🔁 D. Van den Buijs
↦ Y. Vorogovskiy
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-1-2
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
26 V. Wernersson D
14 S. Voet D
7 G. Hairemans M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
11 N. Storm F
19 K. Mrabti M
Bench (7)
23 T. Peyre
9 W. Togui
8 O. Kaya
15 Y. Thoelen
3 L. Bijker
35 M. Shved
29 I. Kaboré

Coach: W. Vrancken

Beerschot VA

3-4-1-2
31 M. Vanhamel G
4 F. Frans D
24 Y. Vorogovskiy M
2 J. Van den Bergh D
79 A. Mboko D
8 R. Holzhauser M
16 T. Pietermaat M
18 R. Sanusi M
28 I. Coulibaly M
10 M. Suzuki F
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (7)
7 B. Eleke
22 A. Sanyang
6 D. Van den Buijs
36 S. Ceulemans
89 G. Grisez
1 W. Biebauw
3 D. Prychynenko

Coach: H. Losada

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U
3,78
B ✓
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,64
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.