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NM-cupen

Referee: S Hauge

Sogndal

S U S U T

1–1

Full-time

KFUM Oslo

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal KFUM Oslo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — NM-cupen · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

6,0

2,5

Scored

4,0

2,5

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 32. · KFUM Oslo 24. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+17	6
2	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+13	6
3	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+12	6
4	Alta	2	2	0	0	+12	6
5	Stromsgodset	2	2	0	0	+10	6
6	Brann	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+9	6
8	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
10	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+8	6
11	Tromsdalen Uil	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Ham-Kam	2	2	0	0	+7	6
13	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+7	6
14	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+7	6
15	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+7	6
16	Viking	2	2	0	0	+6	6
17	Asane	2	2	0	0	+6	6
18	hodd	2	2	0	0	+6	6
19	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
20	Molde	2	2	0	0	+6	6
21	Lysekloster	2	2	0	0	+6	6
22	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+5	6
23	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+5	6
24	KFUM Oslo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
25	Arendal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
26	Odd	2	2	0	0	+3	6
27	Råde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
28	Eidsvold	2	2	0	0	+3	6
29	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
30	Kjelsås	2	2	0	0	+2	6
31	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
32	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
33	Frøya	2	1	1	0	+2	4
34	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+7	3
35	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+4	3
36	Eik-Tønsberg	2	1	0	1	+3	3
37	Træff	2	1	0	1	+3	3
38	Moss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Strommen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Strindheim	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Skeid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Junkeren	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Skjervøy	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
46	Elverum	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Stjørdals-Blink	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	Pors Grenland	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
51	Bjarg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Ull/Kisa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	Frigg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	Jerv	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Vard	2	1	0	1	-2	3
56	Oppsal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
57	Fram	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Bærum	2	1	0	1	-3	3
59	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-3	3
60	Fløya	2	1	0	1	-5	3
61	Djerv	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Torvastad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
66	Askøy	2	0	1	1	-3	1
67	Stord	2	0	1	1	-4	1
68	Mandalskameratene	2	0	1	1	-7	1
69	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Mjølner	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Express	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Hei	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Madla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Follo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Toten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Os	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Årvoll	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
103	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
104	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
105	Rana	1	0	0	1	-3	0
106	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
109	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
110	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
111	Senja	1	0	0	1	-5	0
112	Volda	1	0	0	1	-5	0
113	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
114	Eide	1	0	0	1	-5	0
115	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-5	0
116	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-5	0
117	Lyngbø	1	0	0	1	-6	0
118	Flint	1	0	0	1	-6	0
119	Brønnøysund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
120	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-6	0
121	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
122	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
123	Hallingdal	1	0	0	1	-7	0
124	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
125	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-8	0
126	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-10	0
127	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-10	0
128	Kirkenes	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Råde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Hønefoss	2	1	0	1	+4	3
3	Træff	2	1	0	1	+3	3
4	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	hodd	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Flekkerøy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Frigg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Oppsal	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Fram	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Melhus	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Frøya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Torvastad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Askøy	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Stord	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Mandalskameratene	2	0	1	1	-7	1
18	Strommen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Trygg/Lade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Skeid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Brattvåg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Mjølner	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Lørenskog	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Strindheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Express	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Stjørdals-Blink	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Pors Grenland	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Nordstrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Vidar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Hei	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Skjervøy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Madla	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Elverum	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Gjelleråsen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Nardo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Ull/Kisa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Bossekop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Brodd	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Åskollen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Toten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Junkeren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Ullern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Asker	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Os	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Fana	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Spjelkavik	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Randesund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Gamle Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Heming	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Funnefoss / Vormsund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Årvoll	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Fjøra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Eik-Tønsberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Jerv	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Ørn Horten	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Sprint-Jeløy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Tiller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Bjarg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
60	Rana	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Union Carl Berner	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Førde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
63	Sarpsborg	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Vard	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Mosjøen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Senja	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	Volda	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Bærum	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Eide	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Ridabu	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Varhaug	1	0	0	1	-5	0
72	Lyngbø	1	0	0	1	-6	0
73	Flint	1	0	0	1	-6	0
74	Fløya	1	0	0	1	-6	0
75	Brønnøysund	1	0	0	1	-6	0
76	Sortland	1	0	0	1	-6	0
77	Sverresborg	1	0	0	1	-6	0
78	Bjørkelangen	1	0	0	1	-7	0
79	Hallingdal	1	0	0	1	-7	0
80	Nybergsund	1	0	0	1	-8	0
81	Skreia	1	0	0	1	-8	0
82	Drøbak / Frogn	1	0	0	1	-10	0
83	Forus og Gausel	1	0	0	1	-10	0
84	Kirkenes	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bryne	2	2	0	0	+17	6
2	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+13	6
3	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+12	6
4	Alta	2	2	0	0	+12	6
5	Stromsgodset	2	2	0	0	+10	6
6	Brann	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+9	6
8	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
10	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+8	6
11	Ham-Kam	2	2	0	0	+7	6
12	Ranheim	2	2	0	0	+7	6
13	Stabaek	2	2	0	0	+7	6
14	Valerenga	2	2	0	0	+7	6
15	Viking	2	2	0	0	+6	6
16	Asane	2	2	0	0	+6	6
17	Sandnes ULF	2	2	0	0	+6	6
18	Molde	2	2	0	0	+6	6
19	Lysekloster	2	2	0	0	+6	6
20	Sarpsborg 08	2	2	0	0	+5	6
21	Levanger	2	2	0	0	+5	6
22	KFUM Oslo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
23	Arendal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
24	Odd	2	2	0	0	+3	6
25	Kristiansund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
26	Egersund	2	2	0	0	+2	6
27	Sogndal	2	1	1	0	+4	4
28	Kongsvinger	2	1	0	1	+7	3
29	Eik-Tønsberg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
30	Tromsdalen Uil	1	1	0	0	+5	3
31	hodd	1	1	0	0	+5	3
32	Junkeren	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Bjarg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Vard	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Moss	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	Strommen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Strindheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Skjervøy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
40	Elverum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Bærum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Frøya	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Jerv	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Skeid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Eidsvold	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Stjørdals-Blink	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
48	Fløya	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Ull/Kisa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Kjelsås	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Pors Grenland	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Lyn	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Djerv	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Sotra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Haugesund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Notodden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Byåsen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Grorud	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Follo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Kvik Halden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Surnadal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Gjøvik-Lyn	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.