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NM-cupen
2–5
Full-time
Fredrikstad
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eik-Tønsberg Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 54%
75%
33%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,5
2,7
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — NM-cupen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
6,0
10,0
Scored
6,0
10,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+6,0
+10,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Eik-Tønsberg 34. · Fredrikstad 32.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bryne 2 2 0 0 +17 6
2 Tromso 2 2 0 0 +12 6
3 Alta 2 2 0 0 +12 6
4 Stromsgodset 2 2 0 0 +10 6
5 Brann 2 2 0 0 +9 6
6 Raufoss 2 2 0 0 +9 6
7 Lillestrom 2 2 0 0 +8 6
8 Rosenborg 2 2 0 0 +8 6
9 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +8 6
10 Tromsdalen Uil 2 2 0 0 +7 6
11 Ham-Kam 2 2 0 0 +7 6
12 Ranheim 2 2 0 0 +7 6
13 Stabaek 2 2 0 0 +7 6
14 Valerenga 2 2 0 0 +7 6
15 Viking 2 2 0 0 +6 6
16 Asane 2 2 0 0 +6 6
17 hodd 2 2 0 0 +6 6
18 Sandnes ULF 2 2 0 0 +6 6
19 Molde 2 2 0 0 +6 6
20 Lysekloster 2 2 0 0 +6 6
21 Levanger 2 2 0 0 +5 6
22 KFUM Oslo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
23 Arendal 2 2 0 0 +4 6
24 Odd 2 2 0 0 +3 6
25 Råde 2 2 0 0 +3 6
26 Eidsvold 2 2 0 0 +3 6
27 Kristiansund 2 2 0 0 +2 6
28 Kjelsås 2 2 0 0 +2 6
29 Egersund 2 2 0 0 +2 6
30 Sogndal 2 1 1 0 +4 4
31 Frøya 2 1 1 0 +2 4
32 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +10 3
33 Kongsvinger 2 1 0 1 +7 3
34 Eik-Tønsberg 1 1 0 0 +6 3
35 Hønefoss 1 1 0 0 +5 3
36 Sarpsborg 08 1 1 0 0 +4 3
37 Træff 2 1 0 1 +3 3
38 Moss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Mjondalen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Strommen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 Strindheim 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Skeid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 Skjervøy 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Aalesund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Elverum 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Lyn 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Pors Grenland 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Flekkerøy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Bjarg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Ull/Kisa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Frigg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Jerv 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Vard 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Oppsal 2 1 0 1 -2 3
57 Fram 2 1 0 1 -2 3
58 Bærum 2 1 0 1 -3 3
59 Melhus 2 1 0 1 -3 3
60 Fløya 2 1 0 1 -5 3
61 Djerv 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Sotra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Start 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Haugesund 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Torvastad 2 0 1 1 -1 1
66 Askøy 2 0 1 1 -3 1
67 Stord 2 0 1 1 -4 1
68 Mandalskameratene 2 0 1 1 -7 1
69 Trygg/Lade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Brattvåg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Mjølner 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Express 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Byåsen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Hei 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Sandviken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Madla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Gjelleråsen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Nardo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Bossekop 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Grorud 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Brodd 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Follo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Åskollen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Toten 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Ullern 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Asker 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Os 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Kvik Halden 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Fana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Randesund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Gamle Oslo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Heming 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Funnefoss / Vormsund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Årvoll 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Ørn Horten 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Sprint-Jeløy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Tiller 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Rana 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Union Carl Berner 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Førde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Surnadal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Sarpsborg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Mosjøen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Senja 1 0 0 1 -5 0
112 Volda 1 0 0 1 -5 0
113 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
114 Eide 1 0 0 1 -5 0
115 Ridabu 1 0 0 1 -5 0
116 Varhaug 1 0 0 1 -5 0
117 Lyngbø 1 0 0 1 -6 0
118 Flint 1 0 0 1 -6 0
119 Brønnøysund 1 0 0 1 -6 0
120 Sortland 1 0 0 1 -6 0
121 Sverresborg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
122 Bjørkelangen 1 0 0 1 -7 0
123 Hallingdal 1 0 0 1 -7 0
124 Nybergsund 1 0 0 1 -8 0
125 Skreia 1 0 0 1 -8 0
126 Drøbak / Frogn 1 0 0 1 -10 0
127 Forus og Gausel 1 0 0 1 -10 0
128 Kirkenes 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eik-Tønsberg Fredrikstad
19′
B. Hendriksson 0–1
1–1 H. Danielsen
B. Andersen
25′
40′
P. Metcalfe 1–2
H. Johansen
Half-time 2–2
2–2 J. Myrbakk
T. Nygaard
51′
57′
B. Hendriksson 2–3
77′
J. Magnusson 2–4
E. Segberg
83′
J. Kjaer 2–5
B. Hendriksson
Full-time 2–5

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.