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Pro League
Referee: Frederik Geldhof
Lokeren
U U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Waregem
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 17/12 matches
Win Ø 52%
29%
75%
Points per game
1,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 46%
41%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
5 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lokeren 11. · Waregem 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 17 8 4 5 +13 28
2 Waregem 12 9 1 2 +13 28
3 Anderlecht 12 8 2 2 +18 26
4 Gent 12 8 2 2 +12 26
5 Mechelen 17 7 4 6 -1 25
6 Kortrijk 17 6 6 5 -1 24
7 Genk 17 7 3 7 -6 24
8 Oostende 11 7 2 2 +15 23
9 Club Brugge 11 7 2 2 +15 23
10 Charleroi 12 6 4 2 +3 22
11 Lokeren 17 5 3 9 -7 18
12 Eupen 17 4 4 9 -13 16
13 Beveren 17 3 6 8 -12 15
14 St Truiden 17 3 4 10 -9 13
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 3 2 12 -19 11
16 Westerlo 17 2 5 10 -21 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokeren Waregem
Ari Freyr Skúlason 🟨
30′
31′
B. Hamalainen 0–1
Sergiy Bolbat 🟨
33′
37′
🟨 Christophe Lepoint
Half-time 1–1
1–1 A. Skúlason
M. Tičinović
46′
61′
🟨 Soualiho Meite
K. Persoons 🔁
↦ S. Bolbat
65′
Mijat Maric 🟨
68′
70′
🟨 Davy de Fauw
72′
🔁 L. Marrone
↦ S. Coopman
B. Straetman 🔁
↦ M. Tičinović
75′
82′
🔁 Vetokele
↦ A. Cordaro
S. De Ridder 🔁
↦ T. De Sutter
84′
87′
🔁 J. Naessens
↦ L. Lerager
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lokeren

4-3-3
1 B. Barry G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
11 G. Galitsios D
19 M. Tičinović D
15 S. Ingason D
7 K. Overmeire M
9 T. De Sutter F
17 G. Hupperts F
14 M. Terki F
50 S. Bolbat F
Bench (7)
8 K. Persoons
35 B. Straetman
22 S. De Ridder
3 E. Ansah
13 D. Verhulst
21 M. Mirić
25 B. Ňinaj

Coach: R. Kristinsson

Waregem

4-3-3
1 S. Bossut G
2 D. De fauw D
31 B. Hamalainen D
3 M. Baudry D
10 O. Kaya M
29 A. Cordaro M
23 C. Lepoint M
17 S. Meïté M
8 L. Lerager M
43 S. Coopman M
9 M. Leye F
Bench (7)
4 L. Marrone
7 Vetokele
11 J. Naessens
14 H. Dalsgaard
15 K. Madu
16 O. Oularé
25 L. Bostyn

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Frederik Geldhof · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.