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Premier League
Referee: Craig Pawson
Chelsea
S S S S S
2–3
Full-time
Burnley
T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
3,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Feb -17 Burnley – Chelsea 1–1 27. Aug -16 Chelsea – Burnley 3–0

Match report

Chelsea Burnley
Marcos Alonso 🟨
3′
Gary Cahill 🟥
14′
Cesc Fàbregas 🟨
16′
A. Christensen 🔁
↦ J. Boga
18′
24′
⚽ S. Vokes 0–1
M. Lowton
39′
⚽ S. Ward 0–2
J. Cork
43′
⚽ S. Vokes 0–3
S. Defour
Half-time 0–3
Álvaro Morata 🔁
↦ M. Batshuayi
59′
60′
🟨 Robbie Brady
63′
🟨 Ben Mee
1–3 Álvaro Morata ⚽
Willian
69′
75′
🔁 J. Walters
↦ S. Defour
75′
🔁 S. Arfield
↦ J. Guðmunds­son
David Luiz 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Scott Arfield
Cesc Fàbregas 🟨
81′
Cesc Fàbregas 🟥
81′
2–3 David Luiz ⚽
Álvaro Morata
88′
Antonio Rüdiger 🟨
89′
C. Musonda 🔁
↦ A. Christensen
92′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
13 T. Courtois G
24 G. Cahill D
30 David Luiz D
28 Azpilicueta M
3 Marcos Alonso M
2 A. Rüdiger D
4 Fàbregas M
22 Willian F
7 N. Kanté M
38 J. Boga F
23 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (7)
27 A. Christensen
9 Álvaro Morata
17 C. Musonda
1 W. Caballero
16 Kenedy
31 F. Tomori
36 K. Scott

Coach: A. Conte

Burnley

4-4-1-1
1 T. Heaton G
23 S. Ward D
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
16 S. Defour M
4 J. Cork M
17 J. Guðmunds­son M
12 R. Brady M
13 J. Hendrick F
9 S. Vokes F
Bench (7)
19 J. Walters
37 S. Arfield
3 C. Taylor
10 A. Barnes
18 A. Westwood
28 K. Long
29 N. Pope

Coach: S. Dyche

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Craig Pawson · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.