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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Mechelen
S T S S U
3–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
This season — Pro League · 28/18 matches
Win Ø 57%
46%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
56%
Both score Ø 42%
39%
44%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
2,2
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 1. · Anderlecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 28 13 6 9 +7 45
2 Waregem 18 13 3 2 +19 42
3 Genk 28 12 6 10 +0 42
4 Club Brugge 18 13 2 3 +27 41
5 Standard 28 10 11 7 +10 41
6 Anderlecht 18 12 4 2 +28 40
7 Oostende 18 12 2 4 +20 38
8 Charleroi 18 9 6 3 +6 33
9 Gent 18 9 4 5 +9 31
10 Beveren 28 7 9 12 -11 30
11 Kortrijk 28 8 6 14 -15 30
12 Eupen 28 8 6 14 -21 30
13 Lokeren 28 7 8 13 -10 29
14 St Truiden 28 7 5 16 -14 26
15 Westerlo 28 5 7 16 -28 22
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 5 3 20 -27 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Anderlecht
1–0 S. De Witte
27′
2–0 J. Vanlerberghe
M. Rits
31′
Jordi Vanlerberghe 🟨
41′
43′
🟨 Lukasz Teodorczyk
Half-time 2–0
54′
🔁 F. Acheampong
↦ A. Chipciu
54′
Ł. Teodorczyk 2–1
S. Hanni
64′
🟨 Adrien Trebel
66′
🟨 Leander Dendoncker
T. Matthys 🔁
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
69′
71′
B. Nuytinck 2–2
M. Bruno
J. Peffer 🔁
↦ I. Osaguona
76′
R. Jaadi 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
80′
84′
🔁 O. Deschacht
↦ I. Obradović
3–2 T. Matthys
85′
87′
🔁 I. Thelin
↦ B. Nuytinck
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
14 Chen Xavier
4 S. De Witte D
15 E. Cocalić D
30 J. Vanlerberghe F
16 A. Bjelica F
55 Ž. Filipović M
11 M. Rits M
77 G. Claes M
10 Y. Croizet M
12 I. Osaguona F
Bench (7)
7 T. Matthys
27 J. Peffer
39 R. Jaadi
2 L. Paulussen
5 U. Vitas
22 E. Cobbaut
49 A. Moris

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
23 F. Boeckx G
37 I. Obradović D
14 B. Nuytinck D
5 U. Spajić D
11 A. Chipciu F
94 S. Hanni M
7 A. Najar D
10 M. Bruno M
25 A. Trebel M
32 L. Dendoncker M
91 Ł. Teodorczyk F
Bench (7)
18 F. Acheampong
3 O. Deschacht
24 I. Thelin
1 Rubén
22 I. Doumbia
41 E. Sowah Adjei
73 N. Stanciu

Coach: R. Weiler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.