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Championship
Referee: Geoff Eltringham
Barnsley
U T U T T
1–2
Full-time
Ipswich
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
25 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
11 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barnsley 23. · Ipswich 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 QPR 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Preston 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Hull 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Fulham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Derby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bolton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Birmingham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Reading 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barnsley Ipswich
1–0 T. Bradshaw
R. Hedges
15′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Waghorn
↦ T. Nydam
46′
🔁 D. McGoldrick
↦ M. Kenlock
Adam Jackson 🟨
47′
52′
🟨 Dominic Iorfa
53′
D. McGoldrick 1–1
J. Knudsen
54′
🟨 Jonas Knudsen
I. Ugbo 🔁
↦ T. Bradshaw
57′
70′
M. Waghorn 1–2
J. Garner
77′
🔁 A. McDonnell
↦ F. Downes
S. Payne 🔁
↦ R. Hedges
78′
H. Barnes 🔁
↦ A. Hammill
80′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Barnsley

4-1-4-1
1 A. Davies G
5 A. MacDonald D
18 A. Jackson D
24 M. Pearson D
2 J. McCarthy D
7 A. Hammill M
10 G. Moncur M
20 B. Potts M
4 J. Williams M
9 T. Bradshaw F
34 R. Hedges M
Bench (7)
19 I. Ugbo
23 S. Payne
15 H. Barnes
13 N. Townsend
16 E. Pinnock
27 A. Mowatt
37 J. Bird

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Ipswich

3-5-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 L. Chambers D
12 J. Spence D
3 J. Knudsen D
2 D. Iorfa D
30 M. Kenlock M
8 C. Skuse M
22 T. Nydam M
21 F. Downes M
20 F. Sears F
14 J. Garner F
Bench (7)
9 M. Waghorn
10 D. McGoldrick
37 A. McDonnell
39 L. Woolfenden
1 D. Gerken
11 B. Celina
17 D. Rowe

Coach: M. McCarthy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Geoff Eltringham · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.