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Championship
Referee: Simon Hooper
Reading
S U S U T
1–1
Full-time
Fulham
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Fulham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
23 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Reading 24. · Fulham 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 QPR 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Nott'm Forest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Preston 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Aston Villa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Hull 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Fulham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Norwich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Derby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Bolton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Birmingham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Reading 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reading Fulham
1′
🟥 Tomáš Kalas
5′
🔁 D. Odoi
↦ N. Kebano
Half-time 0–0
50′
🔁 Lucas Piazon
↦ F. Ayité
J. van den Berg 🔁
↦ G. Evans
58′
1–0 L. Kelly
J. Mendes
61′
Liam Moore 🟨
70′
John Swift 🟨
73′
P. Clement 🔁
↦ Tiago Ilori
73′
76′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ S. Johansen
82′
Lucas Piazon 1–1
Adrian Popa I 🔁
↦ M. Barrow
83′
90′
🟨 Aboubakar Kamara
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Reading

3-4-1-2
1 V. Mannone G
5 P. McShane D
2 C. Gunter D
6 L. Moore D
20 Tiago Ilori D
24 T. Blackett D
8 G. Evans M
10 J. Swift M
38 L. Kelly M
9 J. Mendes F
17 M. Barrow M
Bench (7)
4 J. van den Berg
22 P. Clement
25 Adrian Popa I
21 S. Quinn
31 A. Jaakkola
42 A. Rinomhota
55 S. Smith

Coach: J. Stam

Fulham

4-3-3
27 D. Button G
13 T. Ream D
26 T. Kalas D
3 R. Sessegnon D
24 S. Aluko M
8 S. Johansen M
6 K. McDonald M
11 F. Ayité F
16 O. Norwood M
7 N. Kebano M
2 R. Fredericks D
Bench (7)
4 D. Odoi
20 Lucas Piazon
47 A. Kamara
23 Marcelo Djaló
42 M. Rodák
44 I. Cissé
37 A. Edun

Coach: S. Jokanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.