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Premier League
Referee: Neil Swarbrick
Everton
U T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Stoke
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton Stoke
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
9 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 6
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Feb -17 Stoke – Everton 1–1 27. Aug -16 Everton – Stoke 1–0 6. Feb -16 Stoke – Everton 0–3 28. Dec -15 Everton – Stoke 3–4

Match report

Everton Stoke
29′
🟨 Joe Allen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 W. Rooney ⚽
D. Calvert-Lewin
46′
R. Martina 🔁
↦ A. Williams
46′
T. Davies 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
60′
72′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ Bojan
72′
🔁 P. Crouch
↦ S. Berahino
K. Mirallas 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
77′
Morgan Schneiderlin 🟨
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Everton

3-4-2-1
1 J. Pickford G
6 P. Jagielka D
3 L. Baines M
5 A. Williams D
4 M. Keane D
2 M. Schneiderlin M
17 I. Gueye M
20 D. Klaassen F
10 W. Rooney F
9 Sandro Ramírez F
29 D. Calvert-Lewin M
Bench (7)
15 R. Martina
26 T. Davies
11 K. Mirallas
21 M. Bešić
22 M. Stekelenburg
30 M. Holgate
31 A. Lookman

Coach: R. Koeman

Stoke

3-4-2-1
1 J. Butland G
3 E. Pieters M
17 R. Shawcross D
20 G. Cameron D
6 K. Zouma D
24 D. Fletcher M
4 J. Allen M
22 X. Shaqiri F
27 Bojan F
18 M. Diouf M
9 S. Berahino F
Bench (7)
10 E. Choupo-Moting
25 P. Crouch
8 G. Johnson
12 J. Tymon
16 C. Adam
32 Ramadan Sobhi
33 L. Grant

Coach: M. Hughes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Neil Swarbrick · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
13,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.