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Pro League
Mechelen
T S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Gent
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,8
This season — Pro League · 16/13 matches
Win Ø 50%
31%
69%
Points per game
1,1
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
81%
62%
Both score Ø 68%
81%
54%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
1,6
2,2
Conceded
2,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mechelen 10. · Gent 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 14 10 1 3 +22 31
2 Gent 13 9 3 1 +18 30
3 Oostende 14 9 3 2 +16 30
4 Anderlecht 12 7 4 1 +10 25
5 Genk 12 7 1 4 +4 22
6 Charleroi 14 6 4 4 +4 22
7 St Truiden 17 7 1 9 -5 22
8 Waregem 13 6 3 4 +5 21
9 Standard 15 6 1 8 -11 19
10 Mechelen 16 5 3 8 -8 18
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 20 5 3 12 -10 18
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 4 4 7 -3 16
13 Beveren 14 5 1 8 -9 16
14 Westerlo 20 3 7 10 -20 16
15 Lokeren 15 4 3 8 -4 15
16 Kortrijk 14 2 6 6 -9 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Aug -15 Gent – Mechelen 2–2

Match report

Mechelen Gent
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. Hanni
T. Matthys
56′
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ E. Cocalić
58′
2–0 T. Matthys
J. Van Damme
62′
68′
🔁 H. Van der Bruggen
↦ B. Dejaegere
77′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ D. Miličević
77′
🔁 K. Saief
↦ M. Simon
J. Naessens 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
85′
M. Rits 🔁
↦ T. Matthys
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
4 S. De Witte
2 L. Paulussen
15 E. Cocalić
33 M. Kosanović
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
20 J. Van Damme
77 G. Claes
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
30 J. Vanlerberghe
17 J. Naessens
11 M. Rits
3 V. Volkov
9 D. Veselinović
10 R. Wolski
49 A. Moris

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
13 S. Mitrović
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
19 B. Dejaegere
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
27 M. Simon
Bench (7)
17 H. Van der Bruggen
7 K. Coulibaly
15 K. Saief
3 U. Vitas
4 Rafinha
25 B. Vandenbussche
70 Y. Soumahoro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.