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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Gent
S U S U T
1–1
Full-time
Charleroi
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 47%
52%
41%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
41%
33%
Both score Ø 45%
41%
48%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Gent 5. · Charleroi 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 27 17 6 4 +35 57
2 Club Brugge 27 16 5 6 +28 53
3 Waregem 28 15 6 7 +15 51
4 Oostende 28 14 7 7 +17 49
5 Gent 27 14 7 6 +16 49
6 Mechelen 30 14 6 10 +5 48
7 Genk 30 14 6 10 +5 48
8 Charleroi 27 11 10 6 +5 43
9 Standard 30 10 12 8 +9 42
10 Lokeren 30 7 10 13 -10 31
11 Kortrijk 30 8 7 15 -17 31
12 St Truiden 30 8 6 16 -13 30
13 Beveren 30 7 9 14 -15 30
14 Eupen 30 8 6 16 -24 30
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 3 20 -24 24
16 Westerlo 30 5 8 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Charleroi
24′
🟥 Clement Tainmont
Nana Asare 🟨
28′
28′
E. Sağlık 0–1
1–1 Y. Kubo
40′
45′
🟨 Hamdi Harbaoui
Half-time 1–1
61′
🔁 S. Marinos
↦ E. Sağlık
71′
🔁 F. N'Ganga
↦ D. Pollet
B. Verstraete 🔁
↦ T. Foket
78′
D. Bjedov 🔁
↦ B. Dejaegere
78′
79′
🔁 C. Bedia
↦ H. Harbaoui
L. Verstraete 🔁
↦ J. Perbet
83′
86′
🟨 Stergos Marinos
Danijel Miličević 🟨
90′
Louis Verstraete 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-3
91 L. Kalinić G
21 N. Asare D
13 S. Mitrović D
2 S. Gigot D
77 D. Miličević F
10 Renato Neto M
19 B. Dejaegere F
15 K. Saief M
32 T. Foket M
24 J. Perbet F
31 Y. Kubo F
Bench (7)
6 B. Verstraete
30 D. Bjedov
33 L. Verstraete
1 J. Rinne
4 W. Troost-Ekong
55 R. Gershon
44 A. Esiti

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 N. Penneteau G
8 Javi Martos D
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
25 D. Marcq M
7 C. Tainmont M
13 C. Diandy M
28 E. Sağlık M
19 Clinton Mata M
9 H. Harbaoui F
10 D. Pollet F
Bench (7)
17 S. Marinos
41 F. N'Ganga
99 C. Bedia
14 C. Benavente
22 G. Hendrickx
35 P. Mandanda
77 M. Fall

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.