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Pro League

Referee: Luc Wouters

St Truiden

T U U T T

2–2

Full-time

Charleroi

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

1,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Pro League · 12/7 matches

Win Ø 37%

17%

57%

Points per game

0,8

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

50%

29%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

29%

Average goals

2,5

1,4

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

8 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 15. · Charleroi 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	8	0	1	+15	24
2	Anderlecht	9	6	2	1	+10	20
3	Genk	13	6	2	5	-1	20
4	Standard	12	5	4	3	+10	19
5	Kortrijk	12	4	5	3	+2	17
6	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+9	16
7	Gent	7	5	1	1	+7	16
8	Charleroi	7	4	3	0	+4	15
9	Mechelen	12	4	3	5	+0	15
10	Oostende	8	4	2	2	+2	14
11	Eupen	13	3	3	7	-12	12
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	3	2	7	-7	11
13	Lokeren	13	3	2	8	-8	11
14	Beveren	12	2	4	6	-10	10
15	St Truiden	12	2	3	7	-6	9
16	Westerlo	13	2	3	8	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	7	5	1	1	+3	16
2	Gent	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	Standard	6	4	1	1	+11	13
4	Kortrijk	6	3	3	0	+7	12
5	Waregem	4	4	0	0	+7	12
6	Club Brugge	4	3	1	0	+6	10
7	Charleroi	4	3	1	0	+3	10
8	Anderlecht	4	3	0	1	+6	9
9	Beveren	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Lokeren	6	3	0	3	+0	9
11	Oostende	4	2	2	0	+2	8
12	St Truiden	6	2	2	2	+1	8
13	Eupen	6	2	2	2	-3	8
14	Mechelen	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	1	1	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	5	4	0	1	+8	12
2	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Mechelen	6	2	2	2	+0	8
4	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	2	1	3	+1	7
5	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+3	6
6	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Standard	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Charleroi	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Kortrijk	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	Genk	6	1	1	4	-4	4
11	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-9	4
12	Westerlo	7	1	1	5	-12	4
13	Lokeren	7	0	2	5	-8	2
14	Gent	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	St Truiden	6	0	1	5	-7	1
16	Beveren	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.