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Pro League

Referee: Sebastien Delferiere

Genk

T T T S U

1–0

Full-time

St Truiden

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

12 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 6. · St Truiden 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	8	7	0	1	+13	21
2	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Standard	10	4	4	2	+6	16
4	Kortrijk	11	4	4	3	+2	16
5	Mechelen	11	4	3	4	+2	15
6	Genk	10	4	2	4	-2	14
7	Gent	5	4	1	0	+7	13
8	Club Brugge	7	4	1	2	+5	13
9	Charleroi	6	3	3	0	+3	12
10	Oostende	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	3	1	7	-7	10
12	Lokeren	11	3	1	7	-7	10
13	St Truiden	10	2	3	5	-3	9
14	Beveren	10	2	3	5	-5	9
15	Westerlo	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Eupen	10	2	1	7	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Waregem	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Kortrijk	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	Standard	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Genk	5	3	1	1	+1	10
6	Lokeren	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	St Truiden	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Oostende	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Beveren	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+2	7
11	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
12	Mechelen	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Anderlecht	3	2	0	1	+4	6
14	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	1	1	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Waregem	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	2	0	3	+1	6
6	Standard	5	1	3	1	+0	6
7	Charleroi	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Kortrijk	6	1	2	3	-5	5
9	Genk	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Westerlo	5	1	1	3	-7	4
11	Oostende	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Eupen	6	1	0	5	-9	3
13	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Beveren	5	0	1	4	-6	1
15	St Truiden	5	0	1	4	-6	1
16	Lokeren	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.