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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Mechelen
S U T T T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,2
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
50%
90%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
80%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 8. · Royal Excel Mouscron 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 8 7 0 1 +13 21
2 Anderlecht 8 5 2 1 +8 17
3 Standard 10 4 4 2 +6 16
4 Kortrijk 11 4 4 3 +2 16
5 Genk 10 4 2 4 -2 14
6 Gent 5 4 1 0 +7 13
7 Club Brugge 7 4 1 2 +5 13
8 Mechelen 10 3 3 4 +0 12
9 Charleroi 5 3 2 0 +3 11
10 Oostende 7 3 2 2 +1 11
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 10 3 1 6 -5 10
12 Lokeren 11 3 1 7 -7 10
13 St Truiden 10 2 3 5 -3 9
14 Beveren 10 2 3 5 -5 9
15 Westerlo 10 2 2 6 -10 8
16 Eupen 10 2 1 7 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Royal Excel Mouscron
Ahmed El Messaoudi 🟨
13′
20′
🟨 Simon Diedhiou
Glenn Claes 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Y. Croizet
M. Rits
65′
N. Schouterden 🔁
↦ G. Claes
68′
70′
🔁 R. Ferber
↦ V. Viola
2–0 D. Kolovos
N. Verdier
74′
Chen Xavier 🔁
↦ L. Paulussen
75′
79′
🔁 I. Feruz
↦ D. Mohamed
82′
🟨 Luka Stojanovic
T. Matthys 🔁
↦ D. Kolovos
87′
90′
🔁 F. Mulić
↦ Trézéguet
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-4-2
49 A. Moris G
4 S. De Witte D
2 L. Paulussen D
15 E. Cocalić D
16 A. Bjelica F
3 A. El Messaoudi D
11 M. Rits M
17 D. Kolovos M
77 G. Claes M
10 Y. Croizet M
99 N. Verdier M
Bench (7)
18 N. Schouterden
14 Chen Xavier
7 T. Matthys
9 D. Veselinović
26 C. Coosemans
30 J. Vanlerberghe
55 Ž. Filipović

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-2-3-1
21 M. Delač G
24 N. Gulan M
23 M. Tirpan D
34 S. Simič D
29 T. Peyre D
5 D. Hubert M
22 L. Stojanović M
11 D. Mohamed F
10 Trézéguet M
16 V. Viola F
20 S. Diédhiou F
Bench (7)
9 R. Ferber
99 I. Feruz
45 F. Mulić
4 K. Essikal
15 D. Graovac
28 J. Huyghebaert
33 T. Defourmy

Coach: G. De Boeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.