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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Stabaek
T S S T U
1–2
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 34%
26%
41%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
52%
44%
Both score Ø 43%
56%
30%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stabaek 15. · Sarpsborg 08 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 27 20 6 1 +42 66
2 Brann 27 13 6 8 +12 45
3 Odd 27 13 6 8 +8 45
4 Molde 27 12 6 9 +5 42
5 Haugesund 27 11 8 8 +3 41
6 Sarpsborg 08 27 11 8 8 -2 41
7 Viking 28 11 7 10 -2 40
8 Aalesund 28 11 5 12 -7 38
9 Stromsgodset 27 10 7 10 +1 37
10 Sogndal 27 8 12 7 +1 36
11 Valerenga 27 8 7 12 -3 31
12 Bodo/Glimt 27 8 6 13 -5 30
13 Tromso 27 8 6 13 -9 30
14 Lillestrom 27 7 8 12 -6 29
15 Stabaek 27 7 7 13 -6 28
16 Start 27 2 9 16 -32 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stabaek Sarpsborg 08
1–0 M. Njie
42′
Half-time 1–0
Muhammed Keita 🟨
56′
75′
🔁 P. Mortensen
↦ P. Kirkevold
A. Mehmeti 🔁
↦ L. Kassi
76′
82′
🔁 M. Sundli
↦ A. Groven
G. Gorozia 🔁
↦ M. Keita
83′
85′
M. Sundli 1–1
M. Lund Nielsen
88′
P. Mortensen 1–2
S. Rosted
90′
🔁 O. Hansen
↦ J. Lindberg
Alanzinho 🔁
↦ M. Njie
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stabaek

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sayouba G
3 M. Skjønsberg D
4 M. Nilsson
16 A. Hanche-Olsen D
25 B. Meling D
18 J. Moe D
77 M. Keita M
99 O. Omoijuanfo F
8 C. Grossman M
28 L. Kassi M
11 M. Njie M
Bench (6)
10 A. Mehmeti
9 G. Gorozia
32 Alanzinho
22 G. Singh
60 E. Race
98 S. Pedersen

Coach: B. McKinlay

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
1 A. Østbø G
3 H. Toivomaki D
20 A. Østli D
29 A. Groven D
15 S. Rosted D
5 M. Lund Nielsen M
10 J. Lindberg F
17 S. Ernemann M
22 J. Tveita D
6 A. Trondsen M
7 P. Kirkevold F
Bench (7)
69 P. Mortensen
4 M. Sundli
13 O. Hansen
19 K. Jónsson
21 A. Kristiansen
23 K. Hansen
24 A. Mbedule

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.