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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez

Sociedad

T S T S T

3–0

Full-time

Alaves

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,9

2,1

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sociedad 11. · Alaves 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	1	2	+17	19
2	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+18	18
3	Real Madrid	8	5	3	0	+14	18
4	Sevilla	8	5	2	1	+4	17
5	Villarreal	8	4	4	0	+10	16
6	Ath Bilbao	8	5	0	3	+3	15
7	Las Palmas	8	3	3	2	+3	12
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Betis	9	3	2	4	-8	11
10	Alaves	8	2	4	2	+1	10
11	Sociedad	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Leganes	8	3	1	4	-4	10
13	Celta	8	3	1	4	-7	10
14	Malaga	8	2	3	3	-2	9
15	Valencia	9	3	0	6	-5	9
16	Espanol	9	1	5	3	-5	8
17	La Coruna	8	2	2	4	-5	8
18	Sp Gijon	8	2	1	5	-11	7
19	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Granada	8	0	2	6	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+7	7
8	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Malaga	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Alaves	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Celta	4	2	0	2	-3	6
14	Sp Gijon	4	2	0	2	-4	6
15	Betis	4	1	2	1	-4	5
16	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Valencia	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Osasuna	5	0	2	3	-4	2
19	Granada	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	4	0	1	+10	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+6	8
5	Villarreal	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Valencia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Betis	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Sevilla	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Las Palmas	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Celta	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Sociedad	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Sp Gijon	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Granada	4	0	1	3	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.