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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Mechelen
S S U T T
2–3
Full-time
Oostende
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 9/5 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
44%
100%
Both score Ø 72%
44%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 9
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 8. · Oostende 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 7 6 0 1 +11 18
2 Anderlecht 8 5 2 1 +8 17
3 Standard 10 4 4 2 +6 16
4 Kortrijk 10 4 3 3 +2 15
5 Genk 10 4 2 4 -2 14
6 Gent 5 4 1 0 +7 13
7 Club Brugge 7 4 1 2 +5 13
8 Mechelen 9 3 3 3 +1 12
9 Charleroi 5 3 2 0 +3 11
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 10 3 1 6 -5 10
11 Lokeren 10 3 1 6 -5 10
12 St Truiden 10 2 3 5 -3 9
13 Beveren 10 2 3 5 -5 9
14 Westerlo 10 2 2 6 -10 8
15 Oostende 5 2 1 2 +0 7
16 Eupen 10 2 1 7 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Oostende
4′
K. Musona 0–1
1–1 N. Verdier
Y. Croizet
33′
38′
🟨 David Rozehnal
43′
🟨 Kevin Vandendriessche
Uros Vitas 🟥
45′
Half-time 1–2
61′
B. Godeau 1–2
F. Berrier
62′
🔁 Y. El Ghanassy
↦ F. Berrier
G. Claes 🔁
↦ T. Matthys
64′
D. Kolovos 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
72′
72′
🔁 N. Pedersen
↦ Z. Cyriac
Mats Rits 🟨
73′
R. Jaadi 🔁
↦ E. Cobbaut
79′
83′
🟨 Silvio Proto
2–2 S. De Witte
84′
88′
I. Conté 2–3
K. Musona
91′
🔁 Fernando Canesin
↦ I. Conté
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
49 A. Moris G
4 S. De Witte D
2 L. Paulussen D
15 E. Cocalić D
5 U. Vitas D
3 A. El Messaoudi D
22 E. Cobbaut D
7 T. Matthys M
11 M. Rits M
10 Y. Croizet M
99 N. Verdier M
Bench (7)
77 G. Claes
17 D. Kolovos
39 R. Jaadi
9 D. Veselinović
26 C. Coosemans
30 J. Vanlerberghe
55 Ž. Filipović

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Oostende

4-2-3-1
1 S. Proto G
18 D. Rozehnal D
4 F. Antunes D
31 B. Godeau D
10 F. Berrier M
20 M. Jonckheere M
26 K. Vandendriessche D
22 I. Conté M
77 A. Marušić M
9 Z. Cyriac F
11 K. Musona F
Bench (7)
8 Y. El Ghanassy
14 N. Pedersen
55 Fernando Canesin
12 D. Ovono
15 A. Jali
19 L. Dimata
44 A. Milić

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.