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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Benfica
T S T U S
3–2
Full-time
Guimaraes
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

65% Possession 35%
19 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 25
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Benfica Guimaraes
1–0 Pizzi
10′
2–0 Pizzi
André Almeida
30′
3–0 Pizzi
Álex Grimaldo
38′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 Davidson
↦ O. John
58′
🟨 Tyler Boyd
63′
🔁 G. Celis
↦ João Carlos
Rafa Silva 🔁
↦ F. Cervi
65′
65′
🔁 Alexandre Guedes
↦ J. Tallo
68′
🟨 Rafa Soares
Alfa Semedo 🔁
↦ L. Fejsa
71′
76′
André André 3–1
Davidson
A. Živković 🔁
↦ E. Salvio
79′
81′
G. Celis 3–2
André André
86′
🟨 Guillermo Celis
90′
🟨 Alhassan Wakaso
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Benfica

4-3-3
99 O. Vlachodimos G
34 André Almeida D
33 Jardel D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
6 Rúben Dias D
5 L. Fejsa M
21 Pizzi M
18 E. Salvio F
11 F. Cervi F
83 Gedson Fernandes M
19 F. Ferreyra F
Bench (7)
27 Rafa Silva
16 Alfa Semedo
17 A. Živković
1 M. Svilar
2 G. Conti
14 H. Seferović
22 A. Samaris

Coach: Rui Vitória

Guimaraes

4-2-3-1
1 Douglas Jesus G
5 Rafa D
6 João Afonso D
24 Y. Osorio D
98 Dodô D
11 André André M
25 A. Wakaso M
10 João Carlos M
30 O. John F
49 J. Tallo F
23 T. Boyd M
Bench (7)
91 Davidson
93 G. Celis
9 Alexandre Guedes
20 Tozé
21 F. Hanin
43 J. Amoah
56 João Miguel

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.