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Primeira Liga

Referee: Luis Miguel Rodrigues Ferreira

Vitoria Setubal

S U T U U

2–0

Full-time

Sp Braga

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

32% Possession 68%

8 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitoria Setubal 12. · Sp Braga 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Sp Lisbon	5	5	0	0	+10	15
3	Benfica	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Maritimo	5	4	0	1	+3	12
5	Rio Ave	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Feirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Sp Braga	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Estoril	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Tondela	5	1	2	2	+1	5
10	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-7	4
12	Vitoria Setubal	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	3	2	-2	3
14	Boavista	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Portimonense	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Aves	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Chaves	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Maritimo	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Rio Ave	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Feirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-4	3
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Chaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Tondela	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Feirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-4	3
10	Aves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-2	1
13	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Chaves	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Portimonense	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.