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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Martins
Belenenses
U U
1–1
Full-time
Maritimo
T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
9 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Belenenses 14. · Maritimo 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Sp Lisbon 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Arouca 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Benfica 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 Sp Braga 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Vitoria Setubal 3 1 2 0 +4 5
7 Rio Ave 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Pacos Ferreira 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Boavista 3 1 1 1 -3 4
10 U. Madeira 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Tondela 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Nacional 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Estoril 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Belenenses 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Maritimo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Guimaraes 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Moreirense 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Academica 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Belenenses Maritimo
30′
🟨 Deyvison
33′
⚽ Fransérgio 0–1
35′
🟨 Ruben Ferreira
39′
🟨 Tiago Rodrigues
44′
🟨 Xavier
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Éber
↦ António Xavier
Betinho 🔁
↦ Tiago Caeiro
61′
Camará 🔁
↦ Tiago Silva
61′
1–1 Miguel Rosa ⚽
73′
André Sousa 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 Marcos
↦ Edgar Costa
84′
🔁 U. Diallo
↦ Dyego Sousa
Fábio Nunes 🔁
↦ Sturgeon
88′
90′
🟨 Tiago Rodrigues
90′
🟨 Raul Silva
90′
🟥 Tiago Rodrigues
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Belenenses

24 Hugo Ventura G
28 Gonçalo Brandão D
4 Tonel D
20 Filipe Ferreira D
19 Geraldes D
7 Miguel Rosa M
6 Ruben Pinto M
8 André Sousa M
17 Sturgeon M
10 Tiago Silva M
9 Tiago Caeiro F
Bench (7)
11 Betinho
30 Camará
92 Fábio Nunes
1 Ricardo Ribeiro
2 João Amorim
13 João Afonso
18 Ricardo Dias

Maritimo

78 R. Salin
34 Raúl Silva D
4 Deyvison D
41 Rúben Ferreira D
91 Patrick D
10 G. Ghazaryan M
35 Fransérgio M
29 Tiago Rodrigues M
12 Edgar Costa F
9 Dyego Sousa F
50 António Xavier M
Bench (7)
11 Éber
42 Marcos
22 U. Diallo
1 Wellington
3 Diney
7 Alex Soares
21 Briguel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tiago Martins · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.