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Primeira Liga
Referee: Vasco Santos
Maritimo
S T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Boavista
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
0%
57%
Both score Ø 22%
0%
43%
Average goals
1,6
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 10. · Boavista 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 7 6 1 0 +13 19
2 Porto 7 5 1 1 +11 16
3 Sp Lisbon 7 5 1 1 +7 16
4 Sp Braga 7 4 2 1 +5 14
5 Chaves 7 3 3 1 +2 12
6 Guimaraes 7 3 2 2 +1 11
7 Rio Ave 7 3 1 3 +0 10
8 Pacos Ferreira 8 2 3 3 +0 9
9 Belenenses 7 2 3 2 -2 9
10 Maritimo 7 3 0 4 -3 9
11 Feirense 7 3 0 4 -7 9
12 Vitoria Setubal 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Boavista 7 2 2 3 -2 8
14 Estoril 7 2 1 4 -4 7
15 Nacional 8 2 1 5 -5 7
16 Arouca 7 1 2 4 -4 5
17 Tondela 7 1 2 4 -5 5
18 Moreirense 7 1 1 5 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.