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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro

Rio Ave

S T U S S

3–1

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,8

Conceded

1,3

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

34% Possession 66%

7 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

0 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rio Ave 10. · Sp Lisbon 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Porto	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Chaves	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Feirense	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Vitoria Setubal	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Belenenses	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Rio Ave	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Boavista	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Estoril	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Nacional	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Arouca	5	1	0	4	-4	3
17	Maritimo	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	Tondela	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Vitoria Setubal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Arouca	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Feirense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Chaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Chaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Feirense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Porto	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Rio Ave	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Estoril	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Boavista	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.