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Primeira Liga

Referee: Bruno Miguel Duarte Paixao

Moreirense

U S T T T

0–1

Full-time

Guimaraes

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Guimaraes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

0,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 15. · Guimaraes 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Sp Lisbon	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	Porto	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Sp Braga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Chaves	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Feirense	6	3	0	3	-3	9
8	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Belenenses	5	2	2	1	+0	8
11	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Nacional	6	2	0	4	-1	6
13	Maritimo	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Boavista	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Moreirense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Estoril	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Arouca	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Tondela	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Vitoria Setubal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Belenenses	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Arouca	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Feirense	3	1	0	2	-5	3
16	Chaves	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Chaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Feirense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Porto	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Nacional	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Estoril	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Boavista	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.