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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Sp Lisbon

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Porto

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

2,8

2,3

Conceded

0,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

21 Free kicks against 20

6 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 5. · Porto 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Arouca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Feirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Chaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Estoril	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Estoril	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.