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Primeira Liga
Referee: Carlos Xistra
Sp Lisbon
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Maritimo
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,2
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

69% Possession 31%
19 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Lisbon Maritimo
1–0 S. Coates
João Mário
21′
33′
🟨 Gevaro Nepomuceno
Half-time 1–0
Bruno César 🔁
↦ Jefferson
46′
51′
🟨 Patrick
59′
🔁 Esquerdinha
↦ G. Nepomuceno
2–0 B. Ruiz
João Pereira
60′
Alan Ruiz 🟨
75′
75′
🔁 Coronas
↦ Patrick
81′
🔁 Samuel Santos
↦ G. Ghazaryan
E. Schelotto 🔁
↦ Gelson Martins
84′
Bruno Paulista 🔁
↦ João Mário
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

4-3-1-2
1 Rui Patrício G
21 João Pereira D
4 Jefferson D
13 S. Coates D
23 Adrien Silva M
14 William Carvalho M
99 A. Ruiz M
17 João Mário M
35 Rúben Semedo D
10 B. Ruiz M
77 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
11 Bruno César
2 E. Schelotto
30 Bruno Paulista
34 Beto
29 H. Barcos
73 Matheus Pereira
44 Naldo

Coach: Jorge Jesus

Maritimo

4-5-1
32 Gottardi G
5 Dirceu D
91 Patrick D
3 Maurício
45 Fábio China D
10 G. Ghazaryan M
35 Fransérgio M
15 Jean Cleber M
7 Alex Soares M
90 B. Diawara F
17 G. Nepomuceno F
Bench (7)
40 Esquerdinha
2 Coronas
8 Samuel Santos
20 D. Djoussé
50 António Xavier
1 A. Haghighi
16 André Teles

Coach: Paulo César Gusmão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos Xistra · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.