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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Valerenga
T U S S S
3–2
Full-time
Brann
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Brann
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
32%
58%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
47%
32%
Both score Ø 29%
32%
26%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

60% Possession 40%
10 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 10. · Brann 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 19 14 4 1 +30 46
2 Odd 19 11 4 4 +10 37
3 Brann 19 11 3 5 +12 36
4 Stromsgodset 19 10 3 6 +8 33
5 Haugesund 19 9 4 6 +3 31
6 Sarpsborg 08 19 9 4 6 +0 31
7 Viking 19 9 3 7 -2 30
8 Molde 19 8 4 7 +0 28
9 Sogndal 19 6 8 5 +1 26
10 Valerenga 19 6 3 10 -2 21
11 Lillestrom 20 5 6 9 -4 21
12 Tromso 19 5 6 8 -6 21
13 Bodo/Glimt 20 5 5 10 -6 20
14 Aalesund 19 5 4 10 -11 19
15 Stabaek 19 4 4 11 -8 16
16 Start 19 0 7 12 -25 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Jul -16 Brann – Valerenga 4–1

Match report

Valerenga Brann
14′
K. Barmen 0–1
J. Orlov
1–1 G. Zahid
M. Abdellaoue
31′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 S. Juklerød
M. Abdellaoue
46′
46′
🔁 F. Haugen
↦ K. Barmen
49′
🟨 Deyver Vega
55′
S. Nilsen 2–2
V. Demidov
D. Holm 🔁
↦ S. Juklerød
59′
63′
🔁 S. Skålevik
↦ D. Braaten
71′
🟨 Bismar Acosta
Christian Grindheim 🟨
73′
M. Lekven 🔁
↦ V. Sakor
74′
80′
🔁 A. Karadas
↦ J. Orlov
H. Johansen 🔁
↦ M. Abdellaoue
81′
Daniel Fredheim Holm 🟨
82′
3–2 G. Zahid
92′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
1 M. Sandberg G
24 K. Wæhler
5 R. Lundström D
6 S. Larsen D
19 C. Grindheim F
16 V. Sakor M
10 G. Zahid M
21 S. Juklerød D
23 S. Berge M
25 M. Abdellaoue F
9 R. Lindkvist M
Bench (7)
7 D. Holm
8 M. Lekven
20 H. Johansen
4 J. Nation
14 H. Stengel
17 N. Castro
30 A. Falch

Coach: K. Rekdal

Brann

4-3-3
24 P. Leciejewski
33 A. Nouri D
6 V. Demidov D
15 B. Acosta D
21 R. Kristiansen D
23 S. Nilsen M
29 K. Barmen M
9 K. Skaanes M
25 D. Braaten F
10 J. Orlov F
19 D. Vega F
Bench (7)
8 F. Haugen
11 S. Skålevik
18 A. Karadas
1 A. Horwath
5 J. Grønner
13 E. Huseklepp
16 R. Johansen

Coach: L. Nilsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.