Eliteserien
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valerenga
Brann
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | +30 | 46 |
| 2 |
Odd
|
19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 37 |
| 3 |
Brann
|
19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | +12 | 36 |
| 4 |
Stromsgodset
|
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 33 |
| 5 |
Haugesund
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 31 |
| 6 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | +0 | 31 |
| 7 |
Viking
|
19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 30 |
| 8 |
Molde
|
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | +0 | 28 |
| 9 |
Sogndal
|
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | +1 | 26 |
| 10 |
Valerenga
|
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -2 | 21 |
| 11 |
Lillestrom
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 |
Tromso
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -6 | 21 |
| 13 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 20 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -11 | 19 |
| 15 |
Stabaek
|
19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 16 |
| 16 |
Start
|
19 | 0 | 7 | 12 | -25 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Sandberg
G
G. Zahid
M
S. Berge
M
Coach: K. Rekdal
A. Nouri
D
Coach: L. Nilsen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sarpsborg 08
Valerenga
Valerenga
Molde
Start
Valerenga
Valerenga
Sogndal
Brann
Valerenga
Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.