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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Sp Braga
U S T S U
0–4
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,3
3,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 64%
48%
79%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 42%
39%
45%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,6
2,3
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

33% Possession 67%
5 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 24
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Braga 4. · Sp Lisbon 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 33 28 1 4 +63 85
2 Sp Lisbon 33 26 5 2 +54 83
3 Porto 34 23 4 7 +37 73
4 Sp Braga 33 16 10 7 +23 58
5 Arouca 34 13 15 6 +9 54
6 Rio Ave 34 14 8 12 +0 50
7 Pacos Ferreira 34 13 10 11 +1 49
8 Estoril 34 13 8 13 -1 47
9 Belenenses 34 10 11 13 -22 41
10 Guimaraes 34 9 13 12 -8 40
11 Nacional 33 10 8 15 -13 38
12 Moreirense 34 9 9 16 -16 36
13 Maritimo 34 10 5 19 -18 35
14 Boavista 34 8 9 17 -17 33
15 Tondela 34 8 6 20 -20 30
16 Vitoria Setubal 34 6 12 16 -21 30
17 U. Madeira 34 7 8 19 -23 29
18 Academica 34 5 10 19 -28 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jan -16 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 3–2

Match report

Sp Braga Sp Lisbon
17′
🔁 Paulo Oliveira
↦ S. Coates
20′
T. Gutiérrez 0–1
Arghus 🟥
24′
André Pinto 🔁
↦ Wilson Eduardo
28′
32′
I. Slimani 0–2
Half-time 0–2
Pedro Santos 🔁
↦ Rafa Silva
54′
64′
🔁 Ricardo Esgaio
↦ Gelson Martins
Luiz Carlos 🔁
↦ Alef
69′
71′
B. Ruiz 0–3
72′
🔁 H. Barcos
↦ T. Gutiérrez
74′
🟨 Ruben Semedo
80′
B. Ruiz 0–4
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Sp Braga

28 Marafona G
32 Arghus D
24 Ricardo Ferreira D
87 Marcelo Goiano D
16 Djavan Ferreira D
27 Josué M
63 Mauro M
18 Rafa Silva F
4 Alef M
7 Wilson Eduardo F
20 Koka F
Bench (7)
6 André Pinto
23 Pedro Santos
8 Luiz Carlos
30 Alan
17 Rui Fonte
19 N. Stojiljković
92 Matheus

Sp Lisbon

1 Rui Patrício G
13 S. Coates D
2 E. Schelotto D
14 William Carvalho M
17 João Mário M
35 Rúben Semedo D
20 B. Ruiz M
19 T. Gutiérrez F
11 Bruno César M
9 I. Slimani F
60 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
15 Paulo Oliveira
47 Ricardo Esgaio
29 H. Barcos
31 M. Zeegelaar
6 A. Aquilani
36 Carlos Mané
26 A. Jug

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.