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Championship

Referee: Paul Tierney

Leeds

S U T U T

1–2

Full-time

Birmingham

U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

0,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

3,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leeds 24. · Birmingham 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.