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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Genk
U T S S T
2–2
Full-time
Beveren
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Beveren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,7
This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

67% Possession 33%
5 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
16 Corners 3
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 10. · Beveren 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Waregem 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Standard 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Gent 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Mechelen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 St Truiden 3 1 1 1 -1 4
8 Lokeren 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Genk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Eupen 3 1 0 2 -4 3
12 Kortrijk 3 0 2 1 -4 2
13 Westerlo 3 0 1 2 -4 1
14 Oostende 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 0 0 2 -2 0
16 Beveren 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Beveren
7′
I. Seck 0–1
Z. Gano
23′
Jonathan Buatu 0–2
S. Schrijvers
1–2 N. Karelis
T. Buffel
35′
Half-time 1–2
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ N. Kebano
46′
61′
🟨 Alessandro Cerigioni
65′
🟨 Merveille Goblet
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
65′
D. Wouters 🔁
↦ B. Heynen
73′
1–3 L. Jans
own goal
73′
77′
🔁 O. Myny
↦ F. Vanzo
Thomas Buffel 🟨
85′
91′
🔁 M. Nys
↦ A. Cerigioni
94′
🔁 V. Moren
↦ S. Schrijvers
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Genk

3-4-3
1 M. Bizot G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
5 S. Walsh D
25 O. Ndidi M
19 T. Buffel F
24 Pozuelo M
92 N. Kebano M
28 B. Heynen M
7 N. Karelis F
31 L. Bailey F
Bench (7)
77 M. Samatta
14 L. Trossard
15 D. Wouters
8 B. Kumordzi
17 H. Tshimanga
26 L. Köteles
71 Y. Buyens

Coach: P. Maes

Beveren

4-4-2
18 M. Goblet G
5 Jonathan Buatu D
69 R. Camacho D
21 L. Jans M
3 N. De Schutter D
24 J. Cools M
15 I. Seck M
28 F. Vanzo F
11 A. Cerigioni F
9 Z. Gano F
10 S. Schrijvers F
Bench (7)
32 O. Myny
4 V. Moren
27 M. Nys
1 L. Henkinet
14 N. Orye
20 A. Dhondt
23 M. Caufriez

Coach: S. Vreven

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.