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Premier League
Referee: Roger East
Southampton
U S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Watford
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Watford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,7
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%
24 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Jan -16 Southampton – Watford 2–0 23. Aug -15 Watford – Southampton 0–0

Match report

Southampton Watford
9′
⚽ E. Capoue 0–1
T. Deeney
Half-time 0–1
P. Højbjerg 🔁
↦ J. Ward-Prowse
55′
1–1 N. Redmond ⚽
58′
60′
🟨 Adlène Guédioura
64′
🔁 B. Watson
↦ V. Behrami
73′
🔁 C. Zúñiga
↦ A. Guédioura
76′
🟥 Ben Watson
J. Pied 🔁
↦ Cédric Soares
79′
81′
🔁 I. Anya
↦ O. Ighalo
C. Austin 🔁
↦ S. Long
83′
87′
🟨 Heurelho Gomes
Virgil van Dijk 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Southampton

4-3-1-2
1 F. Forster G
3 M. Yoshida D
2 Cédric Soares D
17 V. van Dijk D
33 M. Targett D
8 S. Davis M
11 D. Tadić M
14 Oriol Romeu M
22 N. Redmond F
16 J. Ward-Prowse M
7 S. Long F
Bench (7)
23 P. Højbjerg
26 J. Pied
10 C. Austin
4 J. Clasie
6 José Fonte
9 J. Rodriguez
13 A. McCarthy

Coach: C. Puel

Watford

3-5-2
1 Gomes G
5 S. Prödl D
25 J. Holebas M
3 M. Britos D
15 C. Cathcart D
11 V. Behrami M
7 N. Amrabat M
29 E. Capoue M
17 A. Guédioura M
24 O. Ighalo F
9 T. Deeney F
Bench (7)
23 B. Watson
18 C. Zúñiga
21 I. Anya
2 A. Nyom
19 J. Sinclair
20 M. Vydra
30 C. Pantilimon

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Roger East · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.