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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
Vitesse
U T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Den Haag
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
4,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
24 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 3. · Den Haag 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Excelsior 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Den Haag 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Heerenveen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Nijmegen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Zwolle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Roda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Twente 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Utrecht 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Go Ahead Eagles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Groningen 2 0 0 2 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Den Haag
1–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
22′
31′
G. Kastaneer 1–1
W. Kanon
Half-time 1–1
59′
🟨 Edouard Duplan
Zhang Yuning 🔁
↦ V. Qazaishvili
61′
61′
G. Kastaneer 1–2
A. Meijers
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ Nathan
62′
79′
🔁 K. Jansen
↦ R. Schaken
83′
🔁 L. Marengo
↦ G. Kastaneer
M. Osman 🔁
↦ L. Baker
87′
89′
🔁 D. van der Heijden
↦ M. Havenaar
Arnold Kruiswijk 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 José San Román
Full-time 1–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.