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Premier League
Referee: Robert Madley
Man City
U S T U U
2–1
Full-time
Sunderland
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

76% Possession 24%
16 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Feb -16 Sunderland – Man City 0–1 26. Dec -15 Man City – Sunderland 4–1

Match report

Man City Sunderland
1–0 S. Agüero ⚽
4′
42′
🟨 Lynden Gooch
Half-time 1–0
Jesús Navas 🔁
↦ Nolito
59′
F. Delph 🔁
↦ David Silva
64′
64′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ D. Watmore
65′
🔁 W. Khazri
↦ L. Gooch
67′
🟨 Donald Love
71′
⚽ J. Defoe 1–1
J. Rodwell
K. Iheanacho 🔁
↦ G. Clichy
80′
83′
🔁 P. McNair
↦ J. Defoe
1–2 P. McNair ⚽
own goal
87′
Aleksandar Kolarov 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Man City

4-2-3-1
13 W. Caballero G
3 B. Sagna D
22 G. Clichy D
11 A. Kolarov D
24 J. Stones D
21 David Silva M
25 Fernandinho M
17 K. De Bruyne M
7 R. Sterling M
10 S. Agüero F
9 Nolito M
Bench (7)
15 Jesús Navas
18 F. Delph
72 K. Iheanacho
5 P. Zabaleta
6 Fernando
30 N. Otamendi
1 J. Hart

Coach: Guardiola

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
1 V. Mannone G
4 Y. Kaboul D
16 J. O'Shea M
23 L. Koné D
3 P. van Aanholt D
22 D. Love D
8 J. Rodwell M
14 D. Watmore M
46 L. Gooch M
18 J. Defoe F
9 F. Borini M
Bench (7)
44 A. Januzaj
10 W. Khazri
19 P. McNair
29 J. Asoro
17 J. Lens
13 J. Pickford
5 P. Djilobodji

Coach: D. Moyes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Robert Madley · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.