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Primeira Liga
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Tondela
T S U S S
0–2
Full-time
Benfica
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Tondela Benfica
26′
🔁 L. López
↦ Luisão
39′
L. López 0–1
Pizzi
Miguel Cardoso 🟨
43′
Wagner 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
C. Gonçalves 🔁
↦ Fernando Ferreira
56′
D. Flores 🔁
↦ Hélder Tavares
65′
65′
🔁 A. Samaris
↦ F. Cervi
68′
🟨 Ljubomir Fejsa
Murilo 🔁
↦ Miguel Cardoso
78′
89′
🔁 E. Salvio
↦ Pizzi
90′
🟨 André Horta
92′
André Horta 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Tondela

4-3-1-2
1 Cláudio Ramos G
3 Pica D
22 David Bruno D
44 Rafael Amorim D
24 Mamadu Candé D
27 Bruno Monteiro M
14 Fernando Ferreira M
8 Hélder Tavares M
28 Wagner F
18 Crislan F
11 Miguel Cardoso M
Bench (7)
7 C. Gonçalves
6 D. Flores
77 Murilo
4 Kaká
9 Zé Turbo
12 Ricardo Janota
92 Fábio Nunes

Coach: Petit

Benfica

4-4-2
12 Júlio César G
4 Luisão D
14 V. Lindelöf D
3 Álex Grimaldo D
50 Nélson Semedo D
5 L. Fejsa M
21 Pizzi M
8 André Horta M
11 K. Mitroglou F
20 Goncalo Guedes M
22 F. Cervi F
Bench (7)
2 L. López
7 A. Samaris
18 E. Salvio
9 R. Jiménez
13 Paulo Lopes
15 A. Carrillo
28 G. Celis

Coach: Rui Vitória

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Joao Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.