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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa
U. Madeira
S T
0–0
Full-time
Guimaraes
T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

U. Madeira Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
4 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match U. Madeira 11. · Guimaraes 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Sp Lisbon 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Arouca 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Benfica 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 Sp Braga 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Vitoria Setubal 3 1 2 0 +4 5
7 Rio Ave 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Pacos Ferreira 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Boavista 3 1 1 1 -3 4
10 Belenenses 3 0 3 0 +0 3
11 U. Madeira 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Tondela 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Nacional 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Estoril 3 1 0 2 -4 3
15 Maritimo 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Guimaraes 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Moreirense 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Academica 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

U. Madeira Guimaraes
30′
🟨 Tomane
40′
🟨 Bouba Saré
Gian Martins 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
Rúben Andrade 🔁
↦ Danilo Dias
54′
56′
🟨 Luis Rocha
65′
🔁 Otavinho
↦ Cafú
71′
🟨 Otávio
73′
🔁 Henrique Dourado
↦ Licá
Kisley 🔁
↦ Breitner
75′
83′
🔁 S. Montoya
↦ Tozé
Miguel Fidalgo 🔁
↦ Élio Martins
85′
88′
🟨 Santiago Montoya
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

U. Madeira

95 André Moreira G
37 Paulo Monteiro
5 Joãozinho D
2 Paulinho D
44 Diego Galo D
3 William Soares
10 Breitner
88 Gian Martins M
15 Danilo Dias F
29 Élio Martins
23 Amilton M
Bench (7)
7 Rúben Andrade
90 Kisley
9 Miguel Fidalgo
8 Carlos Manuel
14 A. Shehu
12 Rafael Alves
30 K. Zarabi

Guimaraes

1 Douglas Jesus G
3 Josué Sá D
76 Bruno Gaspar D
15 João Afonso D
99 B. Saré M
26 Cafú M
70 Tozé M
5 Luís Rocha D
11 Licá F
9 Tómané F
7 Valente M
Bench (7)
52 Otavinho
89 Henrique Dourado
10 S. Montoya
13 Assis
6 Moreno
23 Pedro Correia
18 Ricardo Gomes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Rui Manuel Gomes Costa · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.