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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Heerenveen
U S S T T
4–3
Full-time
Utrecht
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 32/30 matches
Win Ø 39%
38%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
59%
63%
Both score Ø 65%
63%
67%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Heerenveen 7. · Utrecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 26 5 3 +48 83
2 Ajax 34 25 4 5 +56 79
3 AZ Alkmaar 34 22 5 7 +34 71
4 Feyenoord 34 20 6 8 +37 66
5 Vitesse 31 13 9 9 +22 48
6 Utrecht 30 12 10 8 -1 46
7 Heerenveen 32 12 9 11 -3 45
8 Den Haag 33 12 8 13 -10 44
9 Zwolle 34 12 8 14 -12 44
10 Heracles 34 11 9 14 -14 42
11 Excelsior 34 11 7 16 -15 40
12 Groningen 34 8 14 12 +0 38
13 Willem II 34 10 7 17 -13 37
14 NAC Breda 34 9 7 18 -16 34
15 VVV Venlo 34 7 13 14 -19 34
16 Roda 34 8 6 20 -27 30
17 Sparta Rotterdam 34 7 6 21 -41 27
18 Twente 34 5 9 20 -26 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Utrecht
1–0 Y. Kobayashi
9′
2–0 R. Ghoochannejhad
A. Zeneli
23′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 D. Høegh
A. Zeneli
48′
50′
Z. Labyad 3–1
57′
🔁 L. Görtler
↦ M. Klich
63′
Z. Labyad 3–2
65′
D. Bulthuis 4–2
own goal
M. Rojas 🔁
↦ P. van Amersfoort
72′
82′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ Z. Labyad
82′
🔁 G. Troupée
↦ G. Kerk
5–2 D. Dumfries
K. Pierie
86′
J. Hornkamp 🔁
↦ R. Ghoochannejhad
88′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Heerenveen

24 M. Hansen
3 D. Høegh
14 D. Bulthuis
2 D. Dumfries
5 K. Pierie
21 Y. Kobayashi
8 M. Thorsby
19 P. van Amersfoort
9 R. Ghoochannejhad
13 A. Zeneli
20 H. Veerman
Bench (10)
7 M. Rojas
35 J. Hornkamp
4 N. Næss
12 D. Schmidt
16 L. Woudenberg
17 N. Mihajlović
18 M. Vlap
23 W. van der Steen
25 J. Bekkema
26 J. Bruijn

Coach: J. Streppel

Utrecht

1 D. Jensen
3 R. Leeuwin
5 D. Dumić
2 M. van der Maarel
17 S. Klaiber
18 U. Emanuelson
13 M. Klich
10 Z. Labyad
8 Y. Ayoub
6 R. Strieder
7 G. Kerk
Bench (9)
27 L. Görtler
11 C. Dessers
20 G. Troupée
15 Robin van der Meer
16 N. Marsman
22 S. van de Streek
23 A. Kali
25 O. Velanas
41 S. Sow

Coach: J. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.