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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Roda
U S U T U
1–4
Full-time
Utrecht
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 23/21 matches
Win Ø 30%
17%
43%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
61%
57%
Both score Ø 66%
70%
62%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
2,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
13 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 10
0 Offside 5
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 16. · Utrecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 20 2 2 +37 62
2 Ajax 23 17 3 3 +44 54
3 AZ Alkmaar 24 15 5 4 +23 50
4 Feyenoord 23 11 6 6 +21 39
5 Zwolle 23 11 6 6 +1 39
6 Utrecht 21 9 7 5 -1 34
7 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +11 33
8 Heerenveen 23 8 8 7 -2 32
9 Den Haag 22 9 5 8 -2 32
10 VVV Venlo 24 7 10 7 -5 31
11 Excelsior 24 8 5 11 -6 29
12 Heracles 23 7 6 10 -16 27
13 Groningen 24 5 9 10 -5 24
14 Willem II 24 5 5 14 -15 20
15 NAC Breda 24 5 5 14 -16 20
16 Roda 23 4 5 14 -24 17
17 Twente 23 4 4 15 -17 16
18 Sparta Rotterdam 23 3 5 15 -28 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roda Utrecht
13′
S. van de Streek 0–1
M. Klich
38′
🔁 U. Emanuelson
↦ R. Strieder
Half-time 0–2
57′
M. van der Maarel 0–2
M. Ngombo 🔁
↦ A. van Peppen
60′
61′
🔁 D. Dumić
↦ W. Janssen
63′
S. van de Streek 0–3
Henk Dijkhuizen 🟨
67′
G. van Velzen 🔁
↦ L. Milts
73′
J. Vancamp 🔁
↦ D. Schahin
74′
79′
🔁 C. Dessers
↦ G. Kerk
1–3 J. Vancamp
Simon Gustafson
83′
90′
Z. Labyad 1–4
C. Dessers
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Roda

5-3-2
1 H. Jurjus G
5 A. van Peppen D
3 P. Banggaard D
2 H. Dijkhuizen D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
8 A. Auassar D
10 Simon Gustafson M
13 W. Ndenge M
25 L. Milts M
9 D. Schahin F
7 M. Rosheuvel M
Bench (10)
28 M. Ngombo
11 G. van Velzen
18 J. Vancamp
4 C. Kum
14 M. Engels
16 F. Kurto
23 N. Rutjes
24 N. Souren
26 J. Munkana
30 R. Novakovic

Coach: R. Molenaar

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 D. Jensen G
3 R. Leeuwin D
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
17 S. Klaiber D
13 M. Klich M
10 Z. Labyad F
8 Y. Ayoub M
6 R. Strieder M
22 S. van de Streek M
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (9)
18 U. Emanuelson
5 D. Dumić
11 C. Dessers
15 Robin van der Meer
16 N. Marsman
19 B. Ould-Chikh
20 G. Troupée
27 L. Görtler
30 C. David

Coach: J. de Jong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.