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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Perez

Roda

U T T T U

2–1

Full-time

Excelsior

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 27%

16%

37%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

58%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

63%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

8 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Roda 17. · Excelsior 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	20	17	1	2	+31	52
2	Ajax	20	14	3	3	+39	45
3	AZ Alkmaar	19	12	3	4	+15	39
4	Zwolle	20	10	6	4	+5	36
5	Feyenoord	19	9	6	4	+19	33
6	Vitesse	18	7	6	5	+8	27
7	Den Haag	18	8	3	7	-1	27
8	Heerenveen	19	7	6	6	-2	27
9	Utrecht	18	7	6	5	-3	27
10	VVV Venlo	20	6	8	6	-3	26
11	Excelsior	19	7	3	9	-5	24
12	Heracles	20	6	5	9	-12	23
13	Groningen	20	5	7	8	+0	22
14	Willem II	19	4	5	10	-13	17
15	Twente	20	4	4	12	-11	16
16	NAC Breda	20	4	4	12	-17	16
17	Roda	19	3	3	13	-23	12
18	Sparta Rotterdam	20	2	5	13	-27	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	Ajax	10	8	0	2	+20	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	0	3	+9	21
4	Zwolle	10	6	2	2	+7	20
5	Heracles	10	6	2	2	+5	20
6	Groningen	11	4	5	2	+5	17
7	Feyenoord	9	4	3	2	+6	15
8	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Utrecht	9	3	5	1	+0	14
10	Twente	10	3	2	5	-2	11
11	Heerenveen	9	3	2	4	-6	11
12	NAC Breda	10	3	1	6	-11	10
13	Willem II	10	2	3	5	-2	9
14	Roda	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	VVV Venlo	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Excelsior	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	2	6	-12	8
18	Vitesse	7	1	4	2	+0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+14	25
2	Ajax	10	6	3	1	+19	21
3	Vitesse	11	6	2	3	+8	20
4	Feyenoord	10	5	3	2	+13	18
5	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	3	1	+6	18
6	VVV Venlo	10	4	5	1	+2	17
7	Heerenveen	10	4	4	2	+4	16
8	Excelsior	9	5	1	3	+1	16
9	Zwolle	10	4	4	2	-2	16
10	Utrecht	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Den Haag	7	4	0	3	-2	12
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-11	8
13	NAC Breda	10	1	3	6	-6	6
14	Groningen	9	1	2	6	-5	5
15	Twente	10	1	2	7	-9	5
16	Sparta Rotterdam	10	0	3	7	-15	3
17	Heracles	10	0	3	7	-17	3
18	Roda	10	1	0	9	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.