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Bundesliga

Referee: Bastian Dankert

M'gladbach

T S T T T

0–1

Full-time

Dortmund

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 43%

41%

45%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

68%

Both score Ø 60%

55%

64%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

28 Shots 7

11 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 11

6 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 10. · Dortmund 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	23	19	2	2	+37	59
2	Leverkusen	23	10	8	5	+13	38
3	RB Leipzig	22	11	5	6	+6	38
4	Dortmund	22	10	7	5	+18	37
5	Schalke 04	23	10	7	6	+6	37
6	Ein Frankfurt	22	10	6	6	+5	36
7	Hannover	23	8	8	7	-1	32
8	Augsburg	23	8	7	8	+3	31
9	Hoffenheim	23	8	7	8	+0	31
10	M'gladbach	22	9	4	9	-4	31
11	Hertha	23	7	9	7	+0	30
12	Freiburg	23	6	10	7	-13	28
13	Stuttgart	23	8	3	12	-8	27
14	Wolfsburg	23	4	12	7	-4	24
15	Werder Bremen	23	5	8	10	-7	23
16	Mainz	23	6	5	12	-13	23
17	Hamburg	23	4	5	14	-16	17
18	FC Koln	23	3	5	15	-22	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	10	1	0	+25	31
2	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+11	24
3	Schalke 04	12	6	4	2	+6	22
4	Stuttgart	11	7	1	3	+4	22
5	Hoffenheim	11	6	3	2	+7	21
6	Hannover	11	6	3	2	+7	21
7	Freiburg	12	5	6	1	+4	21
8	M'gladbach	11	6	2	3	+3	20
9	Leverkusen	11	5	4	2	+7	19
10	Augsburg	12	5	4	3	+6	19
11	Dortmund	11	5	3	3	+11	18
12	Hertha	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Mainz	11	5	1	5	-2	16
14	Ein Frankfurt	11	4	3	4	+2	15
15	Wolfsburg	12	2	7	3	-1	13
16	Werder Bremen	11	3	4	4	-1	13
17	Hamburg	12	3	3	6	-4	12
18	FC Koln	12	2	3	7	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	1	2	+12	28
2	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	3	2	+3	21
3	Dortmund	11	5	4	2	+7	19
4	Leverkusen	12	5	4	3	+6	19
5	Schalke 04	11	4	3	4	+0	15
6	Hertha	11	3	5	3	+1	14
7	RB Leipzig	11	4	2	5	-5	14
8	Augsburg	11	3	3	5	-3	12
9	Wolfsburg	11	2	5	4	-3	11
10	M'gladbach	11	3	2	6	-7	11
11	Hannover	12	2	5	5	-8	11
12	Werder Bremen	12	2	4	6	-6	10
13	Hoffenheim	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Mainz	12	1	4	7	-11	7
15	Freiburg	11	1	4	6	-17	7
16	Stuttgart	12	1	2	9	-12	5
17	Hamburg	11	1	2	8	-12	5
18	FC Koln	11	1	2	8	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.