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Eredivisie

Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie

Roda

U U T T S

1–0

Full-time

Utrecht

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 19/16 matches

Win Ø 30%

21%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

42%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

47%

69%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

0 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roda 14. · Utrecht 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	20	15	3	2	+36	48
2	PSV Eindhoven	20	14	5	1	+29	47
3	Feyenoord	19	11	3	5	+15	36
4	Nijmegen	20	10	4	6	+7	34
5	Vitesse	20	9	5	6	+19	32
6	Heracles	18	9	4	5	+4	31
7	Zwolle	18	8	5	5	+7	29
8	AZ Alkmaar	20	8	4	8	+0	28
9	Groningen	19	7	7	5	-3	28
10	Utrecht	16	6	5	5	+3	23
11	Den Haag	20	5	8	7	-3	23
12	Heerenveen	19	6	5	8	-8	23
13	Willem II	20	4	7	9	-4	19
14	Roda	19	4	7	8	-16	19
15	Excelsior	20	4	5	11	-16	17
16	Twente	20	4	4	12	-23	16
17	Cambuur	20	2	7	11	-26	13
18	De Graafschap	20	3	2	15	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nijmegen	11	8	2	1	+12	26
2	Ajax	10	8	1	1	+23	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	7	2	0	+13	23
4	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+14	22
5	Groningen	10	6	3	1	+7	21
6	Heracles	9	6	2	1	+8	20
7	Vitesse	10	6	1	3	+14	19
8	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	2	4	+3	17
10	Zwolle	9	5	2	2	+3	17
11	Utrecht	7	4	3	0	+6	15
12	Willem II	10	3	4	3	+3	13
13	Twente	9	4	1	4	-3	13
14	Den Haag	10	2	6	2	+0	12
15	Roda	10	2	5	3	-4	11
16	Excelsior	10	2	2	6	-9	8
17	De Graafschap	10	2	1	7	-8	7
18	Cambuur	10	1	4	5	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	3	1	+16	24
2	Ajax	10	7	2	1	+13	23
3	Feyenoord	10	4	2	4	+1	14
4	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+5	13
5	Zwolle	9	3	3	3	+4	12
6	Den Haag	10	3	2	5	-3	11
7	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	2	4	-3	11
8	Heracles	9	3	2	4	-4	11
9	Excelsior	10	2	3	5	-7	9
10	Utrecht	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Nijmegen	9	2	2	5	-5	8
12	Roda	9	2	2	5	-12	8
13	Groningen	9	1	4	4	-10	7
14	Willem II	10	1	3	6	-7	6
15	Cambuur	10	1	3	6	-12	6
16	Heerenveen	9	1	2	6	-11	5
17	De Graafschap	10	1	1	8	-13	4
18	Twente	11	0	3	8	-20	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.