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Eredivisie
Referee: Bas Nijhuis
Roda
T T U S U
2–4
Full-time
Ajax
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 45%
19%
71%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
62%
81%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
62%
Average goals
3,1
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
2,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 17. · Ajax 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 22 19 1 2 +36 58
2 Ajax 21 15 3 3 +41 48
3 AZ Alkmaar 22 14 4 4 +21 46
4 Zwolle 22 11 6 5 +2 39
5 Feyenoord 21 10 6 5 +20 36
6 Utrecht 20 8 7 5 -2 31
7 Vitesse 19 8 6 5 +10 30
8 Heerenveen 21 8 6 7 -2 30
9 VVV Venlo 21 7 8 6 -2 29
10 Den Haag 20 8 4 8 -3 28
11 Excelsior 22 7 4 11 -7 25
12 Heracles 21 6 6 9 -12 24
13 Groningen 21 5 7 9 -2 22
14 Willem II 21 4 5 12 -16 17
15 Twente 22 4 4 14 -16 16
16 NAC Breda 21 4 4 13 -19 16
17 Roda 21 4 4 13 -22 16
18 Sparta Rotterdam 22 3 5 14 -27 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Nov -17 Ajax – Roda 5–1 5. Feb -17 Roda – Ajax 0–2 13. Aug -16 Ajax – Roda 2–2 31. Jan -16 Roda – Ajax 2–2 31. Oct -15 Ajax – Roda 6–0

Match report

Roda Ajax
1–0 Simon Gustafson ⚽
2′
11′
⚽ D. van de Beek 1–1
N. Tagliafico
L. Milts 🔁
↦ D. Avdijaj
24′
24′
⚽ H. Ziyech 1–2
J. Kluivert
Half-time 1–2
50′
🟨 Joël Veltman
74′
⚽ K. Huntelaar 1–3
D. van de Beek
J. Vancamp 🔁
↦ W. Ndenge
75′
78′
🔁 S. de Jong
↦ H. Ziyech
80′
🟨 Nicolás Tagliafico
2–3 J. Vancamp ⚽
M. Ngombo
80′
82′
⚽ K. Huntelaar 2–4
N. Tagliafico
84′
🔁 A. Younes
↦ J. Kluivert
87′
🔁 N. Mazraoui
↦ David Neres
Simon Gustafsson 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 H. Jurjus G
3 P. Banggaard D
2 H. Dijkhuizen D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
8 A. Auassar D
6 M. El Makrini M
10 Simon Gustafson M
13 W. Ndenge M
7 M. Rosheuvel M
27 D. Avdijaj F
28 M. Ngombo F
Bench (10)
25 L. Milts
18 J. Vancamp
14 M. Engels
4 C. Kum
23 N. Rutjes
5 A. van Peppen
30 R. Novakovic
16 F. Kurto
11 G. van Velzen
20 D. Werker

Coach: R. Molenaar

Ajax

4-3-3
1 A. Onana G
31 N. Tagliafico D
3 J. Veltman D
43 R. Kristensen D
20 L. Schöne M
10 H. Ziyech M
6 D. van de Beek M
21 F. de Jong M
9 K. Huntelaar F
45 J. Kluivert F
7 David Neres F
Bench (8)
23 S. de Jong
11 A. Younes
40 N. Mazraoui
44 M. Bakker
33 K. Lamprou
28 L. Orejuela
19 M. Cassierra
15 C. Eiting

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Bas Nijhuis · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.