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Eredivisie
Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer
Roda
S U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Twente
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 20%
17%
22%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
61%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
61%
56%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
21 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 17. · Twente 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 15 1 2 +28 46
2 Ajax 18 13 2 3 +37 41
3 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 3 4 +15 39
4 Zwolle 18 9 6 3 +5 33
5 Feyenoord 17 9 5 3 +21 32
6 Den Haag 17 8 2 7 -1 26
7 Utrecht 16 7 4 5 -3 25
8 Vitesse 16 6 5 5 +7 23
9 Heerenveen 17 6 5 6 -3 23
10 VVV Venlo 18 5 7 6 -4 22
11 Heracles 18 6 4 8 -11 22
12 Excelsior 18 6 3 9 -6 21
13 Groningen 18 5 5 8 +0 20
14 Willem II 18 4 4 10 -13 16
15 NAC Breda 18 4 4 10 -15 16
16 Twente 18 4 3 11 -9 15
17 Roda 18 3 2 13 -23 11
18 Sparta Rotterdam 18 2 5 11 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Oct -17 Twente – Roda 3–0 17. Mar -17 Roda – Twente 0–3 28. Oct -16 Twente – Roda 0–0 13. Feb -16 Roda – Twente 0–1 27. Sep -15 Twente – Roda 2–1

Match report

Roda Twente
Half-time 0–1
53′
⚽ H. Vučkič 0–1
O. Assaidi
G. van Velzen 🔁
↦ M. Engels
55′
64′
🟨 Cristian Cuevas
M. Ngombo 🔁
↦ J. Vansteenkiste
70′
78′
🔁 M. Kvasina
↦ T. Boere
W. Ndenge 🔁
↦ O. Gnjatić
80′
82′
🔁 J. van der Heyden
↦ A. Maher
86′
🟨 Marko Kvasina
88′
🔁 A. Laukart
↦ F. Jensen
1–1 D. Schahin ⚽
M. Rosheuvel
88′
Donis Avdijaj 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Thomas Lam
90′
🟨 Jelle van der Heyden
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Roda

4-3-1-2
1 H. Jurjus G
2 H. Dijkhuizen D
17 J. Vansteenkiste D
3 F. Ananou D
8 A. Auassar D
15 O. Gnjatić M
10 Simon Gustafson M
9 D. Schahin F
7 M. Rosheuvel M
14 M. Engels M
27 D. Avdijaj F
Bench (12)
11 G. van Velzen
28 M. Ngombo
13 W. Ndenge
30 R. Novakovic
16 F. Kurto
20 D. Werker
4 C. Kum
23 N. Rutjes
5 A. van Peppen
18 J. Vancamp
6 M. El Makrini
25 L. Milts

Coach: R. Molenaar

Twente

5-3-2
16 J. Drommel G
15 C. Cuevas D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
10 H. Vučkič M
20 A. Maher M
14 R. Jensen D
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
Bench (8)
17 M. Kvasina
23 J. van der Heyden
11 A. Laukart
28 J. van der Lely
4 J. Hooiveld
26 J. Brondeel
18 M. Liendl
34 A. Tighadouini

Coach: G. Verbeek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Reinold Wiedemeijer · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.