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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

Utrecht

S S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Roda

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Roda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 28/31 matches

Win Ø 35%

50%

19%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 45%

54%

35%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%

18 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

5 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 4. · Roda 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	31	24	4	3	+60	76
2	Ajax	31	23	6	2	+51	75
3	PSV Eindhoven	31	20	9	2	+41	69
4	Utrecht	28	14	7	7	+13	49
5	Vitesse	31	14	6	11	+11	48
6	AZ Alkmaar	29	11	12	6	+7	45
7	Twente	32	12	9	11	+1	45
8	Heerenveen	30	12	6	12	+5	42
9	Heracles	32	11	7	14	-4	40
10	Willem II	32	9	9	14	-12	36
11	Groningen	30	8	11	11	+0	35
12	Excelsior	32	8	10	14	-17	34
13	Den Haag	31	9	5	17	-22	32
14	Zwolle	32	8	8	16	-26	32
15	Roda	31	6	12	13	-22	30
16	Sparta Rotterdam	31	7	7	17	-21	28
17	Nijmegen	32	7	7	18	-30	28
18	Go Ahead Eagles	32	6	5	21	-35	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	16	14	2	0	+43	44
2	Ajax	16	13	2	1	+32	41
3	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+22	36
4	Heerenveen	15	8	4	3	+12	28
5	Twente	16	8	4	4	+8	28
6	Vitesse	15	8	2	5	+9	26
7	Utrecht	13	7	3	3	+9	24
8	Heracles	16	7	3	6	+7	24
9	AZ Alkmaar	15	5	8	2	+7	23
10	Den Haag	16	6	3	7	-2	21
11	Excelsior	16	5	5	6	-1	20
12	Roda	16	5	5	6	-2	20
13	Willem II	16	5	5	6	-3	20
14	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	4	6	+0	19
15	Groningen	15	4	7	4	-1	19
16	Nijmegen	16	5	4	7	-6	19
17	Zwolle	16	4	5	7	-10	17
18	Go Ahead Eagles	16	4	1	11	-13	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	16	9	6	1	+19	33
3	Feyenoord	15	10	2	3	+17	32
4	Utrecht	15	7	4	4	+4	25
5	Vitesse	16	6	4	6	+2	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	14	6	4	4	+0	22
7	Twente	16	4	5	7	-7	17
8	Groningen	15	4	4	7	+1	16
9	Willem II	16	4	4	8	-9	16
10	Heracles	16	4	4	8	-11	16
11	Zwolle	16	4	3	9	-16	15
12	Heerenveen	15	4	2	9	-7	14
13	Excelsior	16	3	5	8	-16	14
14	Den Haag	15	3	2	10	-20	11
15	Roda	15	1	7	7	-20	10
16	Go Ahead Eagles	16	2	4	10	-22	10
17	Sparta Rotterdam	16	2	3	11	-21	9
18	Nijmegen	16	2	3	11	-24	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.