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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Utrecht

U S S U S

0–1

Full-time

Ajax

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 16/18 matches

Win Ø 56%

44%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

44%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,6

2,1

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 6. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	19	15	3	1	+38	48
2	Ajax	18	12	4	2	+24	40
3	PSV Eindhoven	18	10	7	1	+19	37
4	Heerenveen	17	9	4	4	+14	31
5	AZ Alkmaar	17	7	8	2	+9	29
6	Utrecht	16	7	6	3	+6	27
7	Vitesse	19	7	6	6	+4	27
8	Twente	19	7	6	6	+2	27
9	Nijmegen	18	5	7	6	-9	22
10	Groningen	18	5	6	7	-1	21
11	Heracles	19	5	6	8	-8	21
12	Willem II	19	4	7	8	-9	19
13	Sparta Rotterdam	19	4	6	9	-8	18
14	Den Haag	19	5	2	12	-16	17
15	Zwolle	19	4	5	10	-22	17
16	Excelsior	18	4	4	10	-11	16
17	Roda	18	1	10	7	-15	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	18	3	3	12	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	10	8	2	0	+23	26
2	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+13	20
3	Twente	10	5	3	2	+6	18
4	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	3	1	+6	18
5	Heerenveen	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	3	5	1	+4	14
7	Vitesse	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Utrecht	8	4	2	2	+3	14
9	Heracles	9	4	2	3	+2	14
10	Nijmegen	9	3	4	2	+0	13
11	Sparta Rotterdam	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	-1	11
13	Go Ahead Eagles	9	3	1	5	-4	10
14	Den Haag	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Willem II	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Groningen	9	2	4	3	-6	10
17	Zwolle	10	2	3	5	-12	9
18	Roda	9	0	5	4	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	9	7	1	1	+15	22
2	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	PSV Eindhoven	9	5	4	0	+13	19
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	3	1	+5	15
5	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	+7	14
6	Utrecht	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Vitesse	10	3	4	3	+1	13
8	Groningen	9	3	2	4	+5	11
9	Twente	9	2	3	4	-4	9
10	Willem II	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Nijmegen	9	2	3	4	-9	9
12	Roda	9	1	5	3	-8	8
13	Zwolle	9	2	2	5	-10	8
14	Heracles	10	1	4	5	-10	7
15	Den Haag	10	2	1	7	-12	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	10	1	3	6	-9	6
17	Excelsior	9	1	2	6	-10	5
18	Go Ahead Eagles	9	0	2	7	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.